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劳动力转移作用下我国农民收入省际差距及动态增长研究
Research on Provincial Divergence and Dynamic Growth of Farnmer Income under the Effect of Rural Labor Migration in China
【作者】 李佳;
【导师】 王青;
【作者基本信息】 西北农林科技大学 , 区域经济学, 2012, 硕士
【摘要】 回顾改革开放30多年,我国农村劳动力转移与农民收入的增长均表现出一定的阶段性特点。近年,农村劳动力转移规模随着我国城镇化的推进不断扩大。在这样的背景下,研究农村劳动力转移与农民收入省际差距的关系,以及劳动力转移的不同流向对农民收入来源构成的动态影响,对于保证农民收入增长、促进我国协调城乡发展,以及进一步明确城镇化发展方向具有重要的现实意义。本文共由以下几个方面组成:第一章介绍本文的研究背景,在明确本文研究的目的和意义的基础上,对国内外农民收入和劳动力转移相关的研究成果进行总结和评述。第二章首先对我国农村劳动力转移现状进行总体分析,然后从静态和动态角度,分析我国各省份农民收入分布情况以及地区间的分布特点。第三章利用空间数据,对各省份农民收入进行基尼系数分解、分析分项集中指数对农民收入基尼系数的贡献率并对地区间农民收入趋同趋势进行检验。在此基础上,对农村劳动力转移与农民收入省际差距进行相关性分析,判断不同流向农村转移劳动力与农民收入省际差距的相关关系。第四章利用时间序列数据,通过单位根检验、协整检验,构建VAR模型,对农民收入来源构成与不同流向农村转移劳动力进行脉冲响应函数分析和方差分解分析,得出不同流向转移劳动力对我国农民收入及其来源的影响差异。第五章归纳总结了本文的主要结论,提出相应的对策建议,并提出本文研究中存在的不足,展望未来的研究方向。本文认为,无论农村劳动力向城镇转移还是向城市转移,均有利于农民收入来源中工资性收入和转移性收入省际差异的缩小。与城镇吸纳农村转移劳动力相比较,城市吸纳农村转移劳动力对农民收入及其来源构成依然具有决定性的意义。农村劳动力转移是缩小农民收入省际差距的重要途径,同时,需要我国在未来继续对城镇,特别是县级及以下的小城镇的发展予以更多的支持和关注,使其在吸纳农村转移劳动力的过程中发挥更大作用。
【Abstract】 Reviewing the implementation of reform and opening-up policy, there were certainstage characteristics of both rural labor force migration and the growth of farmer income inChina. Recent years, with the advance of China’s urbanization, the scale of rural labor forcemigration has been increasing. In this context, it has important practical significance to studyrelationship between rural labor migration and provincial divergence of farmer income, aswell as relationship between different directions of rural labor migration and the sourcescomposition of farmer income for promoting farmer income, coordinated developmentbetween urban and rural, and clarifying the direction of urbanization development in future.This article consists of the following aspects:The first chapter introduces the background as well as the purpose and significance ofthis study. Then summarizes and comments relevant research results on farmer income andrural labor migration at home and abroad.The second chapter begins with the overall analysis of the status of rural labor migration,then analyses the distribution of provincial farmer income as well as regional distributioncharacteristics of farmer income from static and dynamic perspectives.In the third chapter, using spatial datas to analyses provincial Gini CoefficientDecomposition on farmer income and contribution rate of Concentration Index of farmerincome divisions. to Gini Coefficient, and tests regional farmer income convergence trend.Then analyses the correlation beteeen provincial divergence of farmer income and rural Labormigration. Finally, Judges correlation between different directions of rural labor migrationand farmer income.In the fourth chapter, using time series data to conduct the Unit Root Test andCointegration Test, then builds the VAR Model.Analyses the Impulse Response and VarianceDecomposition of farmer income sources to different directions of labor migration. Concludesthe effect of different direction of rural labor migration to farmer income sources.The fifth chapter summarizes the main conclusions of this paper, and put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions. And then explains deficiency and futureresearch directions for this study.This paper concludes that no matter farmers migrated to towns or cities, it facilitatesto narrow provincial divergence of farmers wage income and transfer income. Comparedwith rural labor migrating to towns, migrating to cities is still has the decisive significancefor farmer income and source constitution. The migration of rural labor is an important wayto reduce provincial divergence of farmer income, meanwhile it is necessary for our countryto continue to give more support and attention to towns, so that they will play moreimportant role in the process of rural labor migration.
【Key words】 rural labor migration; farmer income; provincial divergence; dynamicgrowth;