【作者】 李潇；

【导师】 冯殿美；

【作者基本信息】 山东大学 ， 法律， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 期待可能性理论于20世纪初期发源于德国,经过一百多年的发展,现在已经在大陆法系的犯罪论体系中占有非常重要的地位,对刑法理论和刑法实践都产生了重大的影响。在我国,近年来出现的许多案例都跟期待可能性理论有关,但由于我国的犯罪论体系与大陆法系的存在着显著不同,以及该理论本身的缺陷,期待可能性理论在许多问题上还未能形成统一的论断。由此,本文将从理论的概念、地位、判断标准以及与立法和司法的关系方面入手,对期待可能性进行全面的分析。本文正文由四部分组成。第一部分结合王斌余案件,对期待可能性理论做了笼统的介绍。主要阐述了理论的概念、形成以及发展的概况,并运用该理论对王斌余的死刑判决做了简要的分析。第二部分论述了期待可能性理论的地位及判断标准。由于犯罪论体系的不同,期待可能性理论在大陆法系中的地位和判断标准与在我国的有很大差别。笔者将学界的不同标准分别予以介绍,并发表了自己的一些浅见。第三部分论述了期待可能性理论在刑事立法中的一些问题。从理论在立法中的具体适用入手,阐述了理论对我国刑事立法的指导意义,但同时也不忘揭示期待可能性在我国的尴尬处境并分析其原因,以求让其发挥最大的价值。第四部分论述了期待可能性理论在司法领域的适用。首先介绍了理论的适用范围,主要是超法规的期待可能性理论的适用范围。之后从实例入手,分析了期待可能性理论在定罪量刑中的具体应用。最后分析了我国的刑事司法对理论的借鉴。全文立意在对期待可能性理论的基础研究,由于该理论在刑法学界一直备受争议,所以笔者在论述时对有些方面的问题未能形成明确的论断,而只能将不同学者的观点加以阐述,并发表一些个人的愚见。在最后,鉴于期待可能性理论在犯罪论体系中的重要地位和积极作用,笔者提出了个人的期望,期望该理论能够尽快在我国确立应有的地位及判断标准,并且以一种合理的形式获得发展和应用。更多还原

【Abstract】 The theory of anticipated possibility originated in the 20th century in Germany. Undergoing more than 100 years development, the theory has already took a very important position in the continent’s criminal theory system; at the same time has the significant influence to it. In our country, there are many cases in recent years in relation to the theory, but as many differences between the china’s criminal theory system and that of the continent’s, and the defect of the theory itself, the theory of anticipated possibility has not yet formed on many subjects. This text, starting from the concept of theory, status, the judgment standard and the legislative and judicial relations aspects of anticipated possibility carries on the comprehensive analysis.This text is made up of four parts. The first part of Wang Binyu case, combined with the theory of anticipated possibility do general introduction. Mainly expounds the concept of theory, the formation and development of the situation, and applies the theory to give brief analysis to Wang Binyu death sentence. The second part discusses the theory of anticipated possibility of status and the judgment standard. Because of different criminal theory systems, the theory of anticipated possibility has great difference in our country on status and the judgment standard aspects. The author will introduce the academic different standards and published some humble opinions. The third part discusses some problems of the theory of anticipated possibility in criminal legislation. Begin with the theory’s application and then expounds the theory of guiding significance in legislation, but at the same time also do not forget to reveal anticipated possibility in China’s embarrassment and analyzes its reason, in order to let its maximum value. The fourth part discusses the application of anticipated possibility theory in judicative field. First introduces the theory of applicable scope, mainly is a super regulations applicable scope of the theory of anticipated possibility. After starting from examples, analyzes the theory of anticipated possibility in conviction in the specific application. Finally analyzes our country’s criminal justice theory for reference. The whole text bases on the theory of anticipated possibility of basic research. Because of this theory in criminal law educational world has been controversial, the author discusses on some aspects of the problem failure to form a clear judgment, and can have different scholars point of view, and expatiates published some personal humble opinion. At last, because of the important position and the positive role of the theory of anticipated possibility in criminal theory system, the author puts forward the individual’s expectations. Expecting this theory can be established proper position and judgment standard as soon as possible in our country and with a reasonable form to obtain the development and application.更多还原