【作者】 高炜森；

【导师】 张玉柯；

【作者基本信息】 河北大学 ， 世界经济， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 中国和印度作为世界上两个人口最多的发展中国家,在世界经济中发挥着越来越重要的作用。双方由于地源接近、资源相似并且都处于经济高速发展阶段,双方在出口产品上有较大的相似性。近年来两国贸易的增长速度迅猛,且增幅巨大,但总体上中印经济仍呈现竞争态势,中印贸易也处于相互竞争地位。本文从两国贸易的结合度、比较优势指数、互补性指数入手,对两国的贸易进行实证分析,得出中印两国贸易的互补性远大于其竞争性,双方贸易的潜力巨大的结论。本文首先对中国和印度之间的贸易现状及发展情况进行了分析,并运用贸易结合度指数对中印之间1995—2006年的贸易结合度进行了实证分析。从而得出中印贸易规模虽然不是很大,但是发展十分迅速,两国之间的贸易结合度稳步攀升,中印两国的贸易之间存在着广阔的合作空间。然后,利用巴拉萨显性比较优势指数和贸易互补性指数,按照《国际贸易标准分类》第三版(SITC,Rev.3)的标准分类,由一位数到两位数、由粗略到详细,系统地计算并分析了中国与印度间相互贸易产品的比较优势指数和互补性指数,并对结果进行了分析,得出中印两国的贸易间的互补性比较强这一结论,同时对两国钢铁产业和电子工业的互补性进行了重点分析,并对中印贸易间产生互补性的原因进行了分析。最后对中印贸易间的经济制约因素进行了比较详细的分析,并对中印贸易的发展策略提出了自己的建议。本文的结论是中印两国间贸易的互补性还是大于其竞争性的,两国应当在平等互利的基础上取长补短,互通有无,积极合作,健康竞争,实现两国贸易的双赢。更多还原

【Abstract】 China and India, as two developing countries which possess the largest populations in the world, are playing more and more important roles in world economy. The two countries are geographically near to each other, with similar resources, and both of which are in a period of rapid economic development. Therefore, they have a great similarity in exports. Although the commercial exchange between China and India keeps on increasing with a great speed, the economy in the two countries still demonstrates a competing tendency in general and the commercial exchange between them is also in a competitive situation. The present essay made an empirical analysis from aspects of combinability, comparative advantage index, and complementary index between the two countries. Results show that there is a greater complementarity than competity in Sino-India commercial exchange which implicates a huge potential for commercial development between the two sides.In the first place, the author made an analysis on the present situation of commercial exchange between China and India. Combinability index was also used to make an empirical analysis about the commercial combinability between the two countries from 1995 to 2006. A conclusion was got from the analysis that in spite of the humble size of commercial exchange between China and India, there was a rapid development, stable increase in commercial combinability. There exists a vast room for cooperation between the two countries. Then, Balassa comparative advantage index was employed for analysis. According to the standard classification in Standard International Trade Classification (SITC, Rev.3), the comparative advantage index of commercial exchange between China and India was systematically calculated, from one digit to two digits, from rough to specific. Meanwhile, an analysis was carried out with emphasis on complementarity of steel and electronic industries as well as its reasons. At last, economic constraint factors were analyzed in detail. The author also proposed his constructive suggestions on the development of Sino-India commerce.The conclusion elicited from this essay is that there is a greater complementarity than competity in Sino-India commerce. On the basis of equality, mutual benefit, exchange of needed good and mutual complementarity, the two countries need to actively cooperate as well as healthily compete with each other to realize mutual benefit in the two countries commercial exchange.更多还原