【作者】 王志英；

【导师】 王咏红；

【作者基本信息】 江南大学 ， 食品贸易与文化， 2009， 硕士

【摘要】 俗语说“民以食为天”,我国既是粮食生产大国同时又是粮食消费大国,解决13亿人的吃饭问题是对我国的巨大挑战,与当前国际上大范围的粮食价格上涨形势相比,我国的粮食价格上涨属于合理的恢复性上涨,并处在可控制范围内。但作为人口大国,我国的农业基础薄弱,随着人口的不断增加以及耕地面积的连续缩减,粮食安全尤其是区域的粮食安全仍然存在各种隐患。由于我国粮食生产区域分布不均衡的特点,粮食产销合作对于粮食主产区和主销区的优势互补至关重要,目前我国在探索粮食产销合作模式方面取得了长足进步,但真正适应粮食市场化的合作机制尚未形成,存在问题重重。本文首先介绍了南京市的粮食供需现状,并对其产需特点及粮食安全存在的问题进行了分析,以南京市为例对主销区进行粮食产销合作的必要性进行分析。南京市作为粮食主销区近几年在保护本地粮食生产方面取得了一定成绩,粮食产量止住了下滑的颓势甚至粮食种植面积及产量都略有提高,但与粮食需求量的增加相差甚远,南京市的产需缺口逐年增大并随着人口的不断增加有继续增大的趋势,因此迫切需要通过加强与粮食主产区的产销协作保证当地的粮食安全。其次,本文针对粮食产销合作参与主体的地方政府、粮食企业、粮食生产者、粮食消费者在粮食产销中的利益取向进行分析,并根据参与主体之间的不同关系对我国目前较为成功的粮食产销合作模式进行了归类介绍,分析了各个参与主体在产销合作中存在的问题,并在此基础上对南京市与其他主产区的粮食产销协作模式进行了相关分析。再次,本文利用博弈模型和委托代理理论对于主产区和主销区两大粮食产销合作方的合作失败原因进行了分析,得出了互为委托代理关系的产销区对于个体利益最大化的追求与集体利益最大化的矛盾是合作失败的根本原因,而一旦双方可以建立长期购销合作关系,形成重复博弈的关系,双方将放弃机会主义行为,选择通过合作获得长期利益。最后,本文对建立长期粮食产销协作机制的原则及思路进行了分析,提出了粮食产销协作新模式构建时的重点所在,应结合前几章的分析对新型粮食产销合作机制的构建进行了尝试。本文的研究有助于系统的了解我国的产销合作现状及产销合作失败的原因,此外粮食产销合作新模式的尝试性构建对于丰富和完善我国的粮食产销模式也有所帮助。更多还原

【Abstract】 As the saying goes,“Food is the first necessity of the people”, China is a major grain producer as well as a major grain consumer. With a population of more than 1.3 billion, it is a big challenge for China to slove the problem of feeding so many people. In recent years the grain prices on the international market and our domestic market have been on the advance, but different with the international market,the grain price that rising on the domestic market is reasonable and recovery ,it is also under our control. However, as a country with a large population and weak agricultural foundation, with the increasing population and the continuous reduction of arable land, food security in particular the regional food security still have some hidden dangers.Because of the unbalanced distribution of China’s grain production,in order to have complementary advantages ,it is essential for the grain-producing areas and the the main sales areas to cooperate on the grain production and marketing.It has made great progress in exploring China’s grain production and marketing co-operation these years,but the mechanism of the cooperation has not completely formed yet and still have many problems.This paper first introduces the food supply and demand present situation of Nanjing and analyses the characteristics and existing issues of food security,taking Nanjing as a example to discuss the necessity of food production and marketing cooperation. In recent years, as a main grain purchaser, Nanjing has got some achievment in protecting local food production, the decline in food production has been stopped and the grain growing area and output have increased slightly, but a far cry from the increase in food demand so the gap between production and demand increases each year and the continues to increase as the population has been increasing.Next, this article analyses the benefit orientation of different participation main bodies,which are Local authorities, the grain enterprises, the grain producers and the grain consumers. according to different relationships among the participation main bodies,this paper introduces the relatively successful grain production and marketing cooperation patterns by classification and analyses the question which existed in the production and marketing cooperation of each participation main body.Once more, this article analyses the failure cause of grain production and marketing cooperation used the game model and the principal-agent theory and come to a conclusion that the contradiction between the individual benefit maximization pursue and the collective interests maximization of production and marketing areas which related for the principal-agent is the basic reason of the cooperation failure. But once both sides establish the long-term buying and selling cooperation, they will form redundant gambling relationships, both sides will give up the opportunism behavior and chose to obtains the long-term benefit through the cooperation.Finally, this article analyses the mechanism and principle to establish the long-term grain production and marketing cooperation, and under the present grain circulation mechanism,this paper intends to bring in some measures for production and marketing cooperation’s each participation according to the questions that existed in the cooperation to restraint and encourage each participation main body to participate in the long-term production and marketing cooperation, and has carried on the attempt to the new grain production and marketing cooperation mechanism’s construction.This article research is helpful in understanding the present situation of our country’s production and marketing cooperation and the production and marketing cooperation defeat’s reason, in addition, experimental constructing the new pattern of the grain production and marketing cooperation also helps regarding rich and the perfect our country’s grain production and marketing pattern.更多还原