【作者】 吴鹏；

【导师】 程俐骢；

【作者基本信息】 同济大学 ， 区域经济学， 2007， 硕士

【摘要】 地区产业结构趋同,是指各地区的产业结构在发展演变过程中所表现出来的某种共同倾向性,是指地区之间在主导产业的选择、产业组织规模和技术水平的确定以及产品结构安排等方面的雷同现象。自80年代以来,地区产业结构趋同问题一直困扰着改革和发展,其突出表现为“大而全”、“小而全”,区域结构差异趋于缩小,产业的地域特点不明显,各地区产业门类齐全并逐步形成完整的体系,主要行业和产品生产的空间分布均匀化,集中度下降,相互间缺乏应有的分工与合作,最终导致了整个社会资源配置效率低下,资源浪费严重,企业规模经济效益差。虽然自90年代以来产业结构趋同有所好转,但仍妨碍着经济结构的调整和优化,影响着社会主义建设步伐的加快。本文主要利用数学模型、博弈分析、实证的方法从地方政府的角度分析了地区产业结构趋同的现象,从客观原因、认识原因、体制原因等方面进行了具体阐述,剖析了其存在和发展的规律,揭示了产业结构趋同的利弊,并提出了相应的对策建议。本文共分七个部分:第一部分提出问题,界定了研究目标和给出了全文的分析框架及研究方法和创新;第二部分界定了基本概念并进行了文献综述;第三部分对产业结构的趋同现象进行了历史和实证分析;第四部分从客观、意识、制度、博弈四个方面对产业结构趋同出现的原因进行了具体分析;第五部分从博弈利益调整和进化博弈模型角度给出了博弈对策;第六部分从一般模型和实证角度分析了地方政府对地区产业结构的影响,并给出了更一般的经济对策;第七部分对产业结构趋同问题的给出的政策解决方案做出总结。更多还原

【Abstract】 Regional convergence of industrial structure refers to the region in the development and evolution of the industrial structure that has shown some common tendency, refers to the area between the leading industries choice, industrial organization of the size and level of technology and products to identify areas of duplication structured phenomenon.Since the 1980s, the convergence of industrial areas has plagued issues of the reform and development. Its outstanding performance is "large and all-embracing," and "small and complete", the regional differences tend to narrow the structure, the geographical characteristics of industries are alike, localities industries are a complete range of production and gradually form a complete system, the major industries and products produced uneven distribution of space, concentration decline, mutual lack of due division of work and cooperation, leading to inefficient allocation of resources by society as a whole, serious waste of resources, poor economies of scale enterprises. Although since the 1990s the convergence of industrial structure has improved, it still hampers economic restructuring and optimization, and affects the acceleration of the building of socialism.Using methodologies of mathematical model, game theory, empirical test, this paper’s main areas are aimed to figure out objective reasons, cognitive reasons and institutional reasons for the specificity, to analyze its existence and development laws, and to make the corresponding responses from the perspective of local government.It is divided into seven parts: Part one presents aiming problems, research purposes, the analytical structure and innovations of this paper; Part Two describes basic concepts and the status of research; Part three makes historical and empirical analysis of the convergence of the industrial; Part IV digs out the objective reasons, cognitive reasons and institutional reasons from the perspective of game theory; Part V proposes solutions from the perspectives of modulation of profit-distribution policy and evolutionary game-theory model; Part VI describes a more general analytical model and makes empirical test for it; Part VII generalizes the policies for solving these problems.更多还原