【作者】 陈金华；

【导师】 赵进；

【作者基本信息】 江苏大学 ， 国际贸易学， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 改革开放以来,我国进行了经济体制改革,实行了对外开放政策,我国的国内生产总值和对外贸易都呈现出快速增长的趋势。十七大报告提出“经济发展方式”的表述,是一个从“增长”到“发展”的转变。经济发展包括经济增长,但比经济增长具有更广泛的含义。本文区分经济增长和经济发展两个不同的概念,从发展经济学的角度入手,研究对外贸易与经济发展的关系。推动一个国家或地区的经济发展是对外贸易最重要的功能。本文的着眼点是研究对外贸易对经济发展的促进作用。经济发展的内涵较广,本文研究的是其中与对外贸易关系紧密的经济增长、产业结构、就业与环境问题,其中重点研究经济增长与产业结构。文中运用了实证分析与理论分析相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合、数据说明与图表分析相结合等进行研究。对外贸易在我国经济增长中的作用研究是经济学界的一个重要课题,国内外学者作了大量研究,得出了各自不同的结论。本文在定量分析中运用了现阶段比较科学和先进的协整分析法,运用1980年至2007年的我国进口额、出口额和GDP数据,建立对外贸易促进经济增长的实证模型,从而避免了对非平稳时间序列进行回归分析带来的虚假回归问题,并采用格兰杰检验法验证了对外贸易与经济增长之间的因果关系,使对外贸易促进经济增长的结论更加合理可靠;文中根据对我国对外贸易与产业结构发展的定性分析,得出了我国出口规模的扩大和出口商品结构的优化推动产业结构不断优化以及促进城镇化建设的结论;本文首先从总量上分析了对外贸易对就业的拉动作用,然后重点分析了加工贸易在促进就业增长及提高就业质量中发挥的重要作用;文中分别分析了进口贸易、外商直接投资对我国环境的影响,指出了对外贸易对我国环境保护所起的重要积极影响。最后,根据前文的实证分析与理论分析结果,本文提出了相应的政策建议,以使我国的对外贸易真正地发挥带动国民经济发展的作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Since reform and opening up in 1978,China has carried on the economic system reform,implemented open policy,and the trade and GDP of our country appears rapid growth.In the report of the 17^th CPC National Congress,the statement of "Economic development" indicates the change from "growth" to "development".Economic development,including economic growth,but economic growth has a wider meaning.To distinguish between economic growth and economic development are two different concepts,this paper,from the perspective of development economics,studies the relationship between foreign trade and economic development.To promote a country or a region’s economic development is the most important function of international trade.The focus of this article is to study foreign trade promotion role in economic development.Economic development has a broader connotation,so this paper studies the ones which has the closest relationship to foreign trade in economic development,including economic growth,industrial structure,employment and environmental issues,which focus on economic growth and industrial structure. This paper utilizes the methods of combination in experimental analysis and theoretical analysis,qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis,data’s illustration and graph’s analysis,China’s foreign trade’s role in economic growth is an important academic issue.Domestic and foreign scholars have done a lot of research,and come to different conclusions.In the quantitative analysis,the cointegration analysis which is scientific and advanced in recent years is used to establish the experimental models of the trade improves the economic growth,with the data of China’s imports and exports and GDP from 1980 to 2007.The cointegration analysis avoids spurious regression in unstationary time series.I also use the Granger test to validate the existence of a causal relationship between foreign trade and economic growth.,which makes the conclusion more reasonable and reliable.According to the qualitative analysis of China’s foreign trade and industrial development,the paper comes to the conclusion that China’s export expansion and optimization of the structure of export commodities continued to promote industrial structure optimization and urbanization.This article first on an analysis of the total foreign trade pulling effect on employment,and then focus on the analysis of processing trade play an important role in promoting quantity and quality of employment;The article analyzed respectively the impact of import trade and foreign direct investment on the China’s environment,pointing out that the foreign trade has played an important positive role to China’s environmental protection.Finally,according to the results of earlier empirical and theoretical analysis,this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations in order to make sure that China’s foreign trade truly play a lead role in the development of the national economy.更多还原