节点文献
公路交通区域协调发展评价指标体系及评价模型研究
Study on the Index System and the Estimating Model of Coordination Development of Regional Highway Transtportation
【作者】 杨霞;
【导师】 吴群琪;
【作者基本信息】 长安大学 , 产业经济学, 2008, 硕士
【摘要】 实现区域交通协调发展,既是促进我国区域协调发展的重要环节和任务,也是促进我国区域协调发展和构建和谐社会的重要物质条件和基础保障。因此,科学认识和判断我国各区域交通发展的协调性,明确当前我国区域交通协调发展存在的突出问题和薄弱环节,对于交通行业主管部门制定宏观战略决策及相应的发展思路非常重要。本文关于区域交通协调发展的研究具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。本文以公路交通作为研究视角,遵循系统的观点和思想,从区域协调发展的内涵出发,结合公路交通的服务属性,分析探讨了区域交通协调发展内涵及其定量化研究等相关理论,从基础设施(硬件设施)和管理服务(软环境)两个方面构建区域交通协调发展指标体系,并综合总和合成、层次分析法和聚类分析等方法构建适宜的评价模型。论文选取我国2000、2006年数据进行实证分析,对我国“十五”以来我国公路交通的协调发展情况进行了评价分析,并提出相应的对策思路。通过实证研究一方面验证了本研究所构建的指标体系及其评价模型的合理性和可行性,另一方面可为决策部门提供一定的参考依据。
【Abstract】 Realizing the regional coordinated development of highway transportation is not only one of the major components and tasks in the promotion of China’s regional coordinated development, but also one of the significant material conditions and basic guarantees for accelerating the regional coordinated development and the construction of a harmonious society. Therefore, keeping a clear picture and judgment of the coordination of the development of China’s highway transportation in various regions, and figuring out the difficulties for such a development are significant for the departments in charge of transportation industry to make decisions concerning macro-strategies and related development guidelines. The study on the regional coordinated development of highway transportation in the present paper is of both theoretical and practical significance.In accordance with the ideas of system, starting from the contents of regional coordinated development, and in combination of the servicing character of highway transportation, the author analyzes and discusses the contents of regional coordinated development of highway transportation and the related theories of its quantitative research. An index system for the regional coordinated development of highway transportation is proposed, which comprises the tripartite elements of infrastructure, transportation service and support insurance; furthermore, an appropriate evaluation model and thinking are constructed by means of synthesizing method, ahp analysis and cluster analysis. The study is an empirical one with the data from China’s 31 provinces, municipalities or regions in 2000 and 2006. The coordinated development of China’s highway transportation since the Tenth Five-Year Plan is evaluated, with responses proposed. The empirical study on one hand proves the rationality and applicability of the index system and evaluation model proposed in the present paper; while on the other, it to certain extent provides reference for the decision-making sector.
【Key words】 highway transportation; regional coordinated development; index system; evaluation model;