【作者】 张斌；

【导师】 殷克东；

【作者基本信息】 中国海洋大学 ， 数量经济学， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 文章从海洋循环经济发展的实际需要出发,在系统研究循环经济理论的基础上,以海洋循环经济为对象,以海洋循环经济指标体系,评价指标体系以及评价方法为研究内容,运用比较分析和实例分析等科学的分析方法,系统地构建了一套新颖的、适合于我国国情的海洋循环经济评价指标体系与评价方法。本文较全面地分析了国内外循环经济的研究现状,系统的的分析了循环经济的基本理论和方法,界定了海洋循环经济概念的内涵和外延,研究确立了海洋循环经济的指标体系,系统地提出了海洋循环经济评价指标体系的基本原则和评价指标,研究并建立了基于加权积决策理论和基于灰色关联度分析的评价模型,提出了现阶段海洋循环经济评价的指标最优值,并以天津市北疆电厂和海南省海洋循环经济为例分别对海洋循环经济工业园区和区域评价指标体系进行了实证研究。第零章“引言”。从我国海洋经济的发展现状入手,针对现阶段海洋经济发展的实际问题,分析了建设海洋循环经济研究的重要性和开展海洋循环经济评价指标体系研究的必要性,阐述了海洋循环经济评价指标体系的研究意义,基本确定了海洋循环经济评价指标体系研究的目标和思路。第一章“海洋循环经济”。从循环经济的发展历程入手,研究了循环经济的内涵和原则。研究海洋经济,分析海洋经济与海洋可持续发展之间的关系,在此基础上,界定了海洋循环经济的概念,分析概念的内涵及基本特征,阐述了海洋循环经济的发展策略。第二章“海洋循环经济指标体系研究”。在研究一般指标体系的指标选取原则的基础上,设置了一套海洋循环经济指标体系,并在此基础上研究了海洋循环经济指标体系和海洋循环经济评价指标体系的逻辑关系,为评价研究做好前期研究工作。第三章“海洋循环经济评价指标体系研究”。在提出了海洋循环经济评价指标体系设计的指导思想,设计的原则的基础上,将海洋循环经济指标体系压缩成只含有22个评价指标的区域海洋循环经济评价指标体系,含有14个指标的工业园区海洋循环经济评价指标体系结合调查问卷,运用结合特征向量法设定了评价指标体系的权重。第四章“海洋循环经济评价模型研究”。通过对各指标值的经济意义分析,设立评价指标体系指标值的最优值,为现阶段进行海洋循环经济评价确定了标准。分析了本研究数据预处理的方法。分析海洋循环经济系统的灰色性和评价指标间的非线性关系,运用灰色关联度方法和加权积理论建立了评价模型。第五章“海洋循环经济评价典型案例研究。从天津市北疆电厂和海南省海洋循环经济的发展现状入手,结合2005年度海洋循环经济运行的基本数据,利用评价模型对两处的海洋循环经济建设水平进行实证研究,得出模型的评价结果,并对下一阶段发展海洋循环经济提出建议。第六章“结论与讨论”。阐述了海洋循环经济评价指标体系与评价模型的特点,点明了本研究的创新点,分析了研究中存在的不足,明确了下一步的研究方向。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the theory of circular economy and the need of marine circular economy, this thesis sets up a new index system using the scientific analysis methods such as the comparative analysis and examples analysis. The subject of the system is the marine circular economy, and a more comprehensive analysis of the domestic and international economic circular research has been made to define the connotation and extension of the concept of the marine circular economy. The research establishes the index system of marine circular economy, systematically proposes the evaluation index and the basic principles of marine circular economy, studies and establishes a plot based on the weighted evaluation model of decision-making theory and gray correlative degree analysis method, puts forward the economic evaluation of the marine circular indicators optimal values at present. And the marine circular economy in Hainan Provincial and Beijiang power plant in Tianjing Provincial are set as examples of the evaluation index system for the empirical region study and industry park.Chapter 0, "introduction". Starting with the development and present status of China’s marine economy, the thesis analysis the importance of building the marine circular economy and the necessity of researching in the marine circulation economy evaluation index system. And basic goals and ideas of the marine evaluation index system are made.ChapterⅠ, "the ocean cycle economics". Beginning with the development process of the circular economy, the thesis studies the content and principles of the circular economy, we study the marine economy, and the relationship between marine economy and its sustainable development. On that basis, we define the concept of the marine circular economy and its basic characteristics. A strategy of the marine circulation development is given.ChapterⅡ, "evaluation of the marine circulation economy". On the basis of studying the selection principles of the general index system, I set up a index system of the marine circulation economy. And I analyse the logic relationship between the evaluation index system and the index system in order to do some preliminary studies for evaluation.ChapterⅢ, "the research on the index evaluation system of ocean cycle economy". We propose the guiding ideology and basic principle of the marine circular economy evaluation index system. And we compress the economic evaluation system into a system with only 22 indexes including a evaluation of the industry park circulation economy system with 14 indexes. With the questionnaire, we use the eigenvector evaluation index system to set weights and evaluate the relationship between the evaluation indexes.ChapterⅣ, "the study on evaluation medal of ocean cycle economy". The evaluation model is established on the basis of the weighted plot theory. Through the analysis of the economic significance of various evaluation index indicators, the optimal value is established, giving the standards of the marine circular economy. This study analyzed data preprocessing methods and the nonlinear relationship between ocean circulation system of the grey economy and evaluation of the indicators, using the grey correlation method and the theory of plot weighted to set up evaluation model.ChapterⅤ, "typical case studies - Hainan". Starting with the development status of Hainan and Beijiang power plant of Tianjing province’s marine circular economy, we study the economic construction and its annual basic data of 2005, using the evaluation model. Some recommendations are given in view of its marine circular economic development.ChapterⅥ, "conclusion". This chapter states the index system on marine circular economy and the characteristics of the evaluation model. It also analysis the existing insufficient in the study and gives a clear direction for the next phase of research.更多还原