【作者】 杨亚男；

【导师】 郎丽华；

【作者基本信息】 首都经济贸易大学 ， 国际贸易学， 2007， 硕士

【摘要】 国际贸易与对外直接投资是当今两种最重要的国际经济活动,揭示二者的相互关系有利于各国制订的国际贸易政策和国际直接投资政策互相协调。中国学者对于有关外商直接投资与出口贸易关系的研究已经取得了不少成果,但对于中国对外的直接投资与出口贸易之间关系的研究却寥寥无几,实证研究更是少之又少。本文着重研究对外直接投资与出口贸易之间的关系,具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。系统讨论国际贸易与国际直接投资的关系,有必要首先回顾国际贸易理论和国际直接投资理论的进展,然后对国际贸易与国际直接投资关系的己有研究进行述评。本文主要介绍了以蒙代尔为代表的替代关系理论和以小岛清的理论为代表的互补理论。基本概括了这一领域研究的两大基本派别和观点。实施“走出去”战略以来,中国企业的对外直接投资无论从企业数量的增长还是从投资额的增加上,都呈现出了良好的势头。而中国出口贸易总额的增长速度更是不可小视,但是,两者数量的增长并不能较好地说明两者的关系问题。本文运用了中国最近20年的统计数据进行了实证分析。所做的实证结果表明:中国对外直接投资对中国出口贸易的推动作用非常巨大,两者呈现互补的关系。文章着重分析了中国对外直接投资和出口贸易之间呈现互补关系的原因,并从中得出要发展适应中国国情的贸易促进型投资的策略和建议。笔者从两者关系的特点、对外直接投资动因和产业结构三大角度深刻剖析了形成中国对外直接投资和出口贸易之间互补关系的主要根源,并在批判继承小岛清“边际产业转移”理论的基础上,提出虽然中国是发展中国家,但是,目前仍要大力发展对外直接投资;其次,中国的对外直接投资和出口贸易也应该围绕国内产业结构的不断优化和升级,并由国家来统一安排和规划,进行指导监督;最后,在投资模式的选择上,对发展中国家的直接投资可以应用小岛清的理论。但对发达国家的直接投资应则偏重于学习国外先进的技术,重视提高自身的研发能力,并借此绕过贸易壁垒,不断拓宽国外市场。更多还原

【Abstract】 International trade and foreign direct investment are two most important economic activities now, therefore, their mutual relationship should be discovered so as to produce a harmony of the policies on the two. A lot of successes have been taken by Chinese economists about the relationship between foreign direct investment in china with Chinese export. But there are few researches about the relationship between foreign direct investment from china with Chinese export, let along positivist analysis in this field. This article aims to show the relationship between foreign direct investment from china with Chinese export, with great significance in both academic and practical field.As for it, it is necessary to look back on the development of theory of international trade and theory of foreign direct investment first and then make a critical analysis of the previous studies on the relationship make by scholars home and abroad. Mundell’s theory and the"marginal industry "theory of Kojima, the main schools and views in this field, are the important theories of this article.Since " Going out" became a crucial strategic policy adopted by Chinese government, there are a great trend on both the number of foreign direct investment companies and the sum of foreign direct investment. The sum of Chinese export also increases with years. But these are not enough to illuminate the relationship between them. According to an positivist analysis on the basis of 20—year statistics, this article show that the foreign direct investment from China promoted Chinese export. This article analyze the reasons for this, from three views --the characteristic of their relationship, the cause of FDI and industry structure. On the basis of "marginal industry" theory of Kojima, the policies and advises are given: Fist of all, as a developing country, China should attach importance to and develop FDI; secondly, Chinese FDI and export should serve the industry structure. Government should plan and arrange this, supervising when it works. Finally, the "marginal industry "theory of Kojima can be used in FDI from china to other developing countries. And the main purpose of the Chinese direct investment to the developed country is to study the technology and experience of management of the developed country, or to extend market.更多还原