【作者】 季星；

【导师】 杨善林；

【作者基本信息】 合肥工业大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2007， 硕士

【摘要】 近年来，随着现代信息技术、计算机技术的快速发展、互联网应用的普及，商业模拟(Business Simulation，以下简称BS)开始引入经济管理专业课程教学和企业人员培训之中，并得到迅速发展，特别是BS竞赛系统的研究和开发，为我们提供了一种新的教学思路和实践教学工具。与此同时，复杂适应系统(Complex Adaptive System，以下简称CAS)理论的提出和发展，为经济管理理论研究提供了新的方向。在计算机系统建模上，多主体(Multi-Agent)系统理论的研究以及面向Agent的软件开发方法的成熟和建模平台的丰富，为我们开发BS竞赛软件提供了新的方法和工具。本文介绍了BS的概念、发展历史和主要形式，对比分析了多种代表性BS竞赛系统软件，总结了构建BS竞赛系统所需考虑的关键性要素。阐述了CAS的内涵及其在解决现代经济管理问题中的应用，论述了基于Agent的计算经济学(Agent-based Computational Economics，简称ACE)中有关经济仿真和涌现的概念。论证了将CAS理论中基于Multi-Agent的系统分析和设计方法引入BS竞赛系统设计和构建的可行性。在此基础上，本文通过研究BS竞赛系统开发的设计要素、构建方法和实现过程等，设计和构建一个基于Multi-Agent的BS竞赛系统。本文以国际企业管理挑战赛(GMC)软件为开发原型，根据系统需求和建模的需要，将原型系统拆分成为企业内部流程模拟和企业间竞争模拟。用面向Agent的分析设计和建模方法MaSE和开发工具AgentTool完成了一般制造企业内部采购生产决策流程的建模。从竞争市场环境设计，营销要素设计，消费者行为设计和消费者Agent的构建等方面进一步完善了BS竞赛系统中商业竞争机构的构建，并使用建模软件AnyLogic对商业竞争进行抽象，部分实现了商业竞争模拟。更多还原

【Abstract】 Recently, with the rapid development of the modern information/computer technology as well as the popular use of the Internet, Business Simulation (BS hereafter) starts to be introduced into the economic and management courses and the training for the employees, thus this area has got the speedy progress, especially the research and development of the system of Business simulation game provide us a new teaching idea, also a new practice tool.Meanwhile, the proposal and development of the theory of Complex Adaptive System (CAS hereafter) provide a new direction for the economic management theory research. Within the area of the computer system modelling, the research on the Multi-agent theory, the maturity of the Agent oriented software developing method as well as the rich modelling platforms will definitely offer new ways and tools for the developing of the BS game system (BSG hereafter).The paper describes the concept of the BS, history and the major models, also compares and anylizes a number of typical BSG, summarizes the critical factors that should be considered in the modelling of BSG. Furthermore, it expatiates the foundamental theory of CAS and its application in the modern economic management; addresses the concepts of the economic emulation in Agent based computional Economics; also examines the feasibility of introducing the Multi-agent based system analysis and design method into BSG modelling.Based on this, the author designs a Multi-agent based BSG through research on the design factors, modelling methods and the implementation procedures of developing BSG.BSG designed here is based on GMC; the prototype has been divided into internal process simulation and the enterprises competion simulation according to the system requierments and the modelling.The author adopts the agent oriented analysis method-Mase and AgentTool to finishe the enterprise internal purchase, manufacture and decision-making process modelling. In the meantime, we further improve the modelling of the business competion framework in the BSG in terms of the competion market environment design, marketing factor design, the comsumer behavior design as well as the comsumer agent modelling. We also use Anylogic to simulate the business competion, partly achieve the business competion simulation.更多还原