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中印之间贸易的竞争性和互补性研究

The Competitive and Complementary Research of Trade between China and India

【作者】 王兴立

【导师】 王厚双;

【作者基本信息】 辽宁大学 , 国际贸易学, 2007, 硕士

【摘要】 中国和印度作为世界上经济最具活力的地区,在世界经济中发挥着越来越重要的作用。双方由于地理位置的接近,气候的相似、经济发展阶段的相似造成双方在出口产品上有很大的相似性,印度一直把中国视为其最有威胁的竞争对手之一。研究双方贸易结构的竞争与互补的态势,展望未来趋势,对我们制定正确的外贸政策,促进中印经贸合作有着重大的指导意义。第一章对中印各国的及中印之间贸易的现状进行了分析,并运用贸易结合度指数对中印之间的贸易结合度进行了实证分析。中印贸易规模不大,但是发展十分迅速,而且中印之间的贸易结合度稳步攀升,近几年中两国的贸易结合度基本上都超过了1,和其他国家相比中印两国的结合度是非常高的了,中印两国的贸易依存度增加。在第二章中利用巴拉萨显示性比较优势指数,根据国际贸易标准分类(SITC)由简单到复杂、由粗略到详细的不同分类标准,系统地计算分析了中国与印度贸易产品的比较优势指数并对中印之间产生比较优势原因进行了简单地分析。第三章中采用贸易互补性指数,根据国际贸易标准分类有一位数分析到两位数对中印之间的贸易互补性进行了详细地实证分析,最后对中印之间互补的原因进行了解释分析。第四章采用出口相似性指数,从市场域和产品域两个角度对中国与印度在第三市场的贸易竞争状况进行了实证分析,得出中印两国的出口市场和出口产品结构高度相似,在国际市场上存在激烈的竞争,不过近几年来两国的出口相似指数呈下降的趋势,说明两国的竞争正在趋向缓和。最后,根据前面的分析得出本文的结论,并在结论的基础上对促进中印贸易和的合作发展提出了一些建议,最终目的是避免矛盾,充分利用有利因素,促进双边贸易发展,并不断开拓新的合作领域,使双方从不断扩大的贸易中受益。

【Abstract】 China and the India are the most vigorous area in economy in the world, which are more and more important to the world’s economy. Because of the adjacency of the geographical position, the similarity of the climate and the approximate stage of the economy, they export many identical commodities. India has been regarding China as one of their most dangerous rivals all the time. Discussing the competition and the complementary of trade between the two parties has great directive significance to make the correct foreign trade policy and Promoting Sino-Indian economic and trade cooperation to us.The first paper analysises the current trade situation between China and India various and Sino-Indian, Then use the trade combined index make a empirical analysis between China and India. Sino-Indian trade size is not big, but develop very quickly, moreover the trade combined degrees between China and India steady climb, In recent years the trade combined degrees between China and India have basically all surpassed 1, compare with other countries it is a very high degree, the trade dependence between China and India is increasing.In the second chapter we utilizing the revealed comparative advantage index and according to Standard International Trade Classification (SITC), on the basis of different criteria for classification, utilizing the revealed comparative advantage index of Balassa, the paper makes an analysis on the revealed comparative advantage and make a simple analysis of it’s reasons.In the third chapter we utilizing Trade Complementarity index and according to Standard International Trade Classification (SITC), on the basis of one-digit double-digit classification ,utilizing Trade complementarity index, the paper makes an analysis on the Trade complementarity and make a simple analysis of it’s reasons.In the Fourth chapter adopting the export similarity index, the paper analyses the trade state of China and India from dimensions of market and product, shows that the export market and the structure of export products are highly similar between China and India and there is intense competition in the international market, But in recent years the export similarity index showed a downward trend shows that the competition is moving toward relaxation.Finally, on the base of the previous analysis drawn the conclusions of this paper, and make a number of recommendations on the basis of conclusions to promoting the development of Sino-Indian trade and Coperation, the ultimate aim is to prevent conflicts.Make full use of the favorable factors that promote the development of bilateral trade, and constantly explore new areas of coperation ,and make both sides benefit from the ever-expanding trade.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 辽宁大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2007年 06期
  • 【分类号】F752.7
  • 【被引频次】24
  • 【下载频次】1376
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