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国际工程项目承包中的风险管理研究

A Study on Risk Management in International Engineering Project

【作者】 张建军

【导师】 曹小琳;

【作者基本信息】 重庆大学 , 土木工程, 2007, 硕士

【摘要】 近年来,随着全球经济的高速增长,世界各国的建筑业均取得了持续的增长,我国越来越多建筑企业走出国门承建国际工程项目。但是由于国际工程项目承包中影响因素较多和我国建筑企业自身实力较弱,因此必须加强对国际工程承包项目的管理工作,特别是对项目的风险管理,方能取得项目的成功。本文从承包商的角度对风险管理进行了系统的研究。首先介绍了风险的基本概念和特点,根据国际工程项目承包的特点和发展趋势对其风险因素进行了分析,提出将国际工程承包项目的风险管理划分为风险识别、风险估计、风险评价、风险应对和风险监控五个过程;其次建立了国际工程承包项目风险管理的方法体系,以风险识别为基础,对国际工程承包项目的风险估计、风险评价、风险应对和如何对风险进行监督等内容进行了研究;最后应用层次分析法,结合国际工程承包项目实际案例,对建立的国际工程承包项目风险管理的方法体系进行了实证分析。本文应用定量和定性、实证分析的方法,对国际工程承包项目的风险管理进行了研究,建立了国际工程承包项目风险管理的方法体系,为我国建筑企业在参与国际工程项目承包中的风险管理提供了参考,具有一定的实践指导意义。

【Abstract】 In recent years, as a result of the economic growth with the high speed in the world, the architecture industry has obtained the continuing prosperity. The more and more domestic construction enterprises carry out the international engineering project. Because the international project is affected by many factors and Chinese contractor’s own strength mostly is weak, the international project management, especially the risk management, must be thought more.The thesis carries out the system research form the contractor’s view. At first, the basic concepts and the characteristics of risk factor are introduced. According to the characteristics and developing trend of the international project, the risk factor in the international project is analyzed and the total international project risk management is proposed. Risk management is divided into the five courses: risk identification, risk estimation, risk assessment, risk control, risk monitoring. Secondly, the method system of international project risk management is established. Based on risk identification, elaborate the risk estimation and risk assessment is elaborated. And according to the result, how to control and monitor the risk factor is taken the way. Finally AHP method is applied into a real case of the international project to show the course of risk management and the method system of international project risk management is proved.The thesis adopts quantitative analysis、qualitative analysis and demonstration analysis to do the research to the international project risk management and establish the method system of international project risk management. Through this research, we expect to reference or assist for the contractor undertaking the international project risk management.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 重庆大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2007年 05期
  • 【分类号】F284
  • 【被引频次】44
  • 【下载频次】1431
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