【作者】 周靖；

【导师】 李扬；

【作者基本信息】 东南大学 ， 电力系统及其自动化， 2005， 硕士

【摘要】 需求侧管理(DSM)是追求能源零排放目标、提高能源利用效率的一种有效手段,可以在满足电力需求不断增长的同时减少对新增发电容量的需求,且成本较低,可有效解决电力短缺和减少空气污染。本论文主要研究了DSM潜力和成本效益评估体系,在此基础上对苏州市的DSM主要技术措施的潜力和成本效益进行了评估,为苏州市有关部门开展DSM工作提供了重要的决策依据。完整的DSM指标评估体系可以充分挖掘参与各方的激励因素,为决策者提供更为全面的量化理论依据,进而有效地推动DSM项目的应用和实施。本文建立了包括电力用户、电网公司、发电公司、项目实施方、以及社会在内的DSM参与各方成本效益的评估体系和DSM潜力分析模型,并对其中的一些参数进行了讨论。提出了DSM潜力分析的自上而下和自下而上两种分析方法,并将DSM市场分为改造市场和可能丧失机会市场这两类,分别进行了潜力和成本效益的分析评估。在对苏州经济、社会、用电等数据调研,以及对工业、第三产业和居民用户抽样调查的基础上,以绿色照明、电机驱动系统、高效变压器和无功补偿技术为例,介绍了自下而上和自上而下的两种分析DSM潜力和成本效益方法的实际应用。通过分析,得出了苏州市采取各项DSM技术措施的潜力,并对其成本效益进行了分析,从而为苏州市有关部门提供了决策支持。论文最后介绍了DSM规划决策支持系统的构建,包括系统的主要模块及功能,并展示了主要界面。更多还原

【Abstract】 Well-established Demand Side Management (DSM) programs have been an effective means to capture zero-emission energy resources while satisfying the increased demand for electric power and reducing the need for new generation capacity, at costs well below these supply alternatives. The DSM energy efficiency programs, which produce high benefit with inexpensive investment, are effective ways to cope with power shortages and reduce air pollution in the context that coal is still the major source of primary energy in China.In this thesis the assessing model for analyzing the potential contribution of DSM resources and the cost-benefit of DSM technology options is developed. According to the division of the generating side and the power grid by the reform of electricity industry in China, the potential contribution analysis and the cost-benefit evaluations are carried out in view of the participant users, utility, power plant, and the society, and some sensitive factors are also considered.The two analysis methods for the potential contribution of DSM resources, which are“top-to-down”and“bottom-to-up”methods, are mentioned. Then the potential contribution to the future power demand on Suzhou is estimated and the cost and benefits of DSM technology options are evaluated. The DSM market is divided to two types in the analysis, which are the discretionarily retrofit market and the lost-opportunity market, to make the evaluation more accurately.At last the process of the system construction is introduced, including main modules and functions of the DSM planning system as well as some websites are shown.更多还原