【作者】 李杰；

【导师】 杨忠直；

【作者基本信息】 上海交通大学 ， 工商管理， 2007， 硕士

【摘要】 高级脂肪胺工业在国民经济中有着特殊的位置,它在油脂化学工业和精细化学工业中起着桥梁作用,但是,我国的高级脂肪胺行业中存在诸多问题会影响到行业的长远发展。本文通过查阅大量的文献资料以及与高级脂肪胺相关的众多的机构和企业网站,试图对我国高级脂肪胺行业进行全面、细致的阐述和分析。第一部分简要介绍了高级脂肪胺的定义和广泛的用途和现阶段我国高级脂肪胺行业基本发展状况,并且主要阐述和分析了现阶段我国高级脂肪胺行业所处的行业内、外部环境。高级脂肪胺产品的用途正在不断地得到开发,已经渗透到各行各业,成为国民经济的重要组成部分。本部分对我国高级脂肪胺行业所在的整个产业链进行了详尽地描述和分析。详细描述行业的发展特征,较全面地分析我国高级脂肪胺行业的现状和存在的问题。第二部分,本文结合下游产业发展态势针对我国高级脂肪胺市场进行一系列的分析,通过趋势指数平滑、自回归移动平均以及多元线性回归模型对我国高级脂肪胺未来几年的市场消费趋势进行预测,明确我国高级脂肪胺未来的需求增长点和新产品的开发上。明晰了我国高级脂肪胺行业有着巨大的发展空间。更多还原

【Abstract】 Fatty amine industry is in the special position in national economy. Fatty amine industry is acting as a bridge between Oleo chemical industry and fine chemical industry. However, currently, there are many problems in fatty amine industry and these problems will affect the long-term development. The thesis analyzed fatty amine industry overall.In the first section, the thesis defined the fatty amine and introduced the uses. The thesis analyzed the industry environmental and the industry chain and described the characteristics of the industry detailedly. The thesis also analyzed the current status and the problems for fatty amine industry in detail.In the second section, the thesis forecasted the consumption capacity in China market in the future several years through some special analysis methods such as, trend index smoothness and self regression and linear regression model. The forecasted trend implied that there is a great development room in the fatty amine industry.更多还原