【作者】 罗亚；

【导师】 徐建华；

【作者基本信息】 华东师范大学 ， 地图学与地理信息系统， 2006， 硕士

【摘要】 目前我国东西部差距依然很大，而且存在继续扩大的趋势，这违背了科学发展观的要求，与全面建设小康社会的要求也是相背离。但即使是为缩小东西差距，也绝不能牺牲一方的经济利益而换来另一方的经济发展，因此东西合作与联动发展的新设想便应运而生，它力求东西部通过经济、技术、要素等多方面的合作达到互惠互利、实现双赢的目的。本文以全国三大地带、九大经济分区和省际单元为研究的空间尺度，采用规范研究与实证研究相结合的方法，在GIS技术和统计模型的支持下，从重要的经济要素——劳动力角度探讨中国东西部经济合作的内在机制与模式。 第一章，分析了本文研究背景和意义，并对国内外相关研究进展进行评述，目前我国从劳动力角度对东西部经济合作所做的研究还很缺乏，尤其是定量研究方面。因此，本文用计量模型来研究东西部劳动力迁移的动力机制，探询适合于中国东西部要素流动的模式，从而推进东西部经济合作，这一选题具有重要的实践和理论意义。 第二章，首先对人口迁移数据的质量及来源和研究区域划分范围的界定进行了研究，然后对迁移劳动力的估算方法进行了阐述。最后给出了本文研究的技术路线和框架设计。 第三章，从空间相互作用的角度，基于GIS技术，分别用迁移量、联系强度、首位联系、劳动力吸引率等指标对中国东西部地区之间的劳动力迁移进行了流量分析；用劳动力迁移主流向、劳动力迁移选择指数、迁移熵、迁移平均方向和迁移环形方差等指标揭示了中国东西部地区之间劳动力迁移流向的时空演变规律；用迁移平均距离探究了中国东西部地区之间劳动力迁移的空间结构，最终得出1985年以来我国东西部地区之间劳动力迁移的时空规律。 第四章，基于定性与定量相结合的原则，采用相关分析和回归分析的方法，在空间统计学理论的支持下，首先通过各指标上的迁移劳动力数量和劳动力迁移曲线，对劳动力迁移的影响因素逐个进行了探讨，发现具有相似的自然环境和经济环境的区域之间的劳动力迁移在劳动力总迁移中占了很高的比例，而且自然环境和经济条件较好的地区更能吸引劳动力迁入。然后以空间相互作用模型为基础，构造了经济因素、自然因素、社会因素及综合因素对劳动力迁移影响机制的分析模型，并进行实证研究，进一步探讨了东西部地区之间劳动力迁移的机制。得出如下结论：距离因素是影响劳动力迁移的重要因素，并且这种阻碍作用有增无减；经济因素中人均GDP、经济收入和市场潜力与劳动力迁移正相关，而迁入地第三产业占GDP比重、失业率和职工平均工资与劳动力迁移负相关；自然因素中平均降雨量、NDVI、耕作制度、平均气温与劳动力迁移正相关，而人地比和海拔高程与劳动力迁移负相关；社会因素中的外商直接投资和先期劳动力迁移数量与劳动力迁移均正相关；目前中国劳动力迁移的内在驱动主要是经济因更多还原

【Abstract】 At present the economic gap of East-West region in China is still very wide, and it moreover has the tendency which continues to expand. This is violating the concept of scientific development and is deviating from the request of building a well-off society in an all round way. However, we should not narrow the economic gap by developing the economy of the west at the cost of the benefit of the east. As a result, the new idea of cooperation of the east and the west comes into being which shows that the east and the west can both achieve win-win & mutual benefit by means of cooperation in many fields such as economy, technology etc. Under the help of GIS technology and econometric models, this article takes three zones、 nine regions and thirty- one provinces as the study area, analyzes the inner mechanism and model of the economic cooperation between the east and the west according to labor migration research which is an important economic factor in the economic cooperation of East-West region.This thesis is organized as follows:In chapter 1, Introduction puts forward the study value. According to the relative study background at home and abroad, there is little analysis, especially the quantitative analysis, on the economic cooperation of the east and the west from an aspect of labor migration. So this article studies the drive mechanism of East-West labor migration using econometric model in order to find a suitable model for promoting the economic cooperation of the east and the west in china. This topic has important signification in theory and practice.In chapter 2, Data and study area are discussed. Then the estimation method of migration labor is introduced and the technology route and framework design are also shown.In chapter 3, Based on GIS technology and spatial interaction theory, this paper analyzes the flux, direction and distance to reveal the time-space characters of the labor migration between the east and the west in China since the year of 1985.In chapter 4, using the method of correlation analysis and regression analysis, this article firstly studies the labor migration characteristics of every factor respectively during three time periods. The results indicate that labor migration mainly happens between the regions which have similarity in habitat and economy level and the regions with healthier habitat and higher economy level are more attractive for the immigration. Then, in order to discuss the drive mechanism more deeply, we establish several econometric models to study how economy factors, habitat factors and society factors affect labor migration respectively. Finally, the conclusions are drawn that the distance is an important factor that hampers labor migration and the effects are becoming stronger. Where economy factors are concerned, per capita GDP、 income and market potentiality are positive correlation with labor migration while the ratio of third industry to GDP in the ingoing areas 、 unemployment rate and average wage are negative correlation with labor migration. With regard to habitat factors, average precipitation 、 NDVI、 plow regimentation and average temperature are positive correlation with labor migration while per land area and altitude are negative correlation with labor migration. Concerning society factors, foreign direct investment and labor migration in the period before are negative correlation with labor migration. Generally speaking, economy factors are the main inner drive of the present labor migration in China, however, the influence of habitat factors is also strengthening. In chapter 5, Firstly, this article discusses how labor migration narrows the更多还原