【作者】 殷志扬；

【导师】 潘军；

【作者基本信息】 南京航空航天大学 ， 区域经济学， 2005， 硕士

【摘要】 江苏省作为我国最早、最重要的沿海开放省份之一,其在全国的经济地位举足轻重。从2000年开始,江苏经济止落回升,步入新一轮的增长周期。但是其中仍然存在着一个不容忽视的问题:江苏经济发展的拉动力远远不够,需要积极启动消费来解决问题,从而保持经济发展的良性循环。因此,准确地分析江苏居民不同收入阶层的消费结构将有助于揭示江苏居民由于收入差别所导致的消费取向和消费行为上的差异,从而针对性地提出扩大内需的对策和建议。与目前普遍应用的基于局部均衡的研究不同,本文将运用基于一般均衡的社会核算矩阵(SAM)技术,通过建立江苏地区宏观、细化社会核算矩阵,从社会核算矩阵乘数的角度对江苏城乡不同收入阶层的消费结构性特征进行科学地分析。本研究的主要研究结论如下:第一,数据资料的实证分析反映了江苏城镇居民总体上消费乏力,但在不同的消费项目上,不同的家庭反应是不同的;第二,江苏城镇不同收入分组家庭对食品和教育部门的消费支出表现为随收入水平递增而呈递减态势;第三,江苏城镇不同收入分组家庭对文化娱乐服务部门的消费支出随收入水平递增而呈递增态势;第四,居住消费是江苏城镇中等偏上及以上家庭的所有9类商品(服务)中消费欲望最强的品种;第五,居住、食品和交通通讯是江苏农村居民现实消费热点,但江苏农村居民对教育文化娱乐、衣着和医疗保健消费重视不够,特别是对医疗保健消费欲望最弱;第六,江苏农村低、中等、中高和高收入户对于居住消费的欲望最强,而且消费潜力也比较大,而中低收入户对食品消费的欲望最强,但消费潜力却不足;第七,江苏农村居民对耐用消费品表现为较大的消费潜力,而高收入居民在逐步退出耐用消费品消费时代,有望向更高的消费阶层迈进;第八,江苏农村居民中低收入及以下居民医疗保健消费欲望强烈、消费潜力巨大;第九,虽然交通通讯是江苏农村居民消费重点,但是发展潜力不够;最后,江苏农村各收入阶层居民对教育文化娱乐消费欲望相差不大,但低收入户却表现出具有较大的消费潜力。更多还原

【Abstract】 Jiangsu province is one of the provinces with economic flourishing. Starting from 2000, Jiangsu economy has stopped its falling, to go forward into a new turn of growth cycle. But there is a problem which can not be neglected, Jiangsu economy development is drived insufficiently, it leads to the issue of positive promotion to consumption for preserving the economy in a normal cycle. It is important to research on the consumption behavior of Jiangsu residents which can be classified in different groups that is helpful to make clear the consumption preference and consumption patterns. According to above the proper countermeasure and suggestion is bring forward to enlarging consumption from internal. Different with the popular method based on the local equilibrium theory, in this paper afford are made to research on the consumption structure character for which the method of SAM-based multiplier is applied with data developing from the Jiangsu macro and micro Social Accounting Matrix. The conclusions are as following:Firstly, the result demonstrates that the consumption of urban residents is weak totally, but response of the different family is various with different expending items. Secondly, the expense on food and education of the different class in urban residents is descending as their income ascending. Thirdly, the expense on the culture and entertainment is increasing as their income rise among different classes. Fourthly, the housing expense is the strongest appetite in all nine kinds of commodities and services of the mid-class and above. Fifthly, the housing, food and the transportation communication is the hotspot in the countryside reality consumption, but little attention is paid to the consumption of education, cultural entertainment, and health care, especially the weakest appetite for the health care. Sixthly, the income of low, middle, mid-high and high classes in countryside have stronger appetite for the housing expense and their consumption potential is great, while the mid-low household has theirs for food consumption but low potential. Seventhly, durable consumable of countryside has its stronger potential consumption, while it is withdrawing gradually in the high income inhabitant. Eighth, the mid-low and lower classes of country residents have strong appetite for health care, which have their great consumption potential. Ninthly, more expense on traffic and communication is seen by countryside but with insufficient potential. Finally, the low income of更多还原