【作者】 李杰；

【导师】 刘思峰；

【作者基本信息】 南京航空航天大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2006， 硕士

【摘要】 正确选择区域主导产业,有利于区域经济管理部门准确把握区域经济发展方向,制定适宜的产业政策,使区域经济在主导产业带动下,快速发展。本文对区域主导产业选择的指标体系以及选择方法和模型进行了较为系统地研究,并选择上海、天津、江苏、安徽、贵州等几个具有代表性的省市进行实证研究。以区域主导产业评价指标体系为基础,运用灰色定权聚类评估模型,选出了上述省市的主导产业。通过对比分析,进一步明确了各省市主导产业的特征。本文的主要成果如下:1、在原有的五个指标(感应力指标、影响力指标、需求收入弹性指标、劳动力就业系数指标及增长率指标)基础上,引入产业规模指标,使指标体系能够更全面的体现主导产业的特征,因此选取出的主导产业比较合理;2、对原始数据进行可比性处理,提高了评价结果的科学性;3、参照不同省市主导产业特征和发达国家产业结构的演变规律,对各省市相关数据进行对比分析,明确了各省市大致所处的发展阶段,进而为同类别的省市提供参照。4、针对不同省市的特点,提出了相应的产业发展对策。更多还原

【Abstract】 The correct selection of the regional leading industries, is useful for the regional economics administration department to grasp the development direction of regional economics accurately, and to establish appropriate industrial policy, resulting in rapid development of region economics.This article makes a research on the index system, the method and models of the selection of the regional leading industries systemally. Also some representive provinces/cities as Jiangsu, Anhui, Guizhou, Shanghai, Tianjin are token out, and a positive study on those provinces/cities are made. On the basis of the index system for evaluating the regional leading industries, and with the uses of the grey cluster model with fixed weights, the leading industries of those provinces/cities above are chosen out. Via the contrast analysis, the leading industries characters of those provinces/cities are confirmed.Some achievements are made out as following:1. The industrial scale index is brought in, based on the existed index system, making it more comprehensive.2. The processes which make the representive provinces/cities comparably.3. Comparing the characters of the leading industries between the representive provinces/cities and the developed country, the stage of the representive provinces/cities are made out. Those could be the point of references to the provinces/cities which are in the same classification as the representive ones.4. Different development policy proposed to the representive provinces/cities.更多还原