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外国直接投资对我国国内投资挤出效应研究

A Study on FDI’s Crowd-out Effect on China’s Domestic Investment

【作者】 张可

【导师】 卢汉林;

【作者基本信息】 武汉大学 , 金融学, 2005, 硕士

【摘要】 随着我国利用外国直接投资(FDI)规模的增加,FDI在促进我国经济快速增长的同时,也对我国国内投资形成了挤出效应,给我国带来了一定负面影响。本文通过计量模型定量说明了FDI与我国国内投资,资本形成之间的关系,主要研究了FDI对我国国内投资挤出效应的机制、成因和负面影响。 本文首先构建了一个总投资模型,实证检验了全国和各省市FDI对国内投资挤出效应的态势,然后根据实证检验的结果,在微观、中观、宏观三个层面研究了FDI对国内投资产生挤出效应的作用机理,参照作用机理具体分析了FDI在我国发生挤出效应的原因,以及对我国国有企业、民族工业和品牌等方面带来的负面影响。最后分别在企业、行业和制度层面提出了避免挤出的对策。

【Abstract】 When FDI keep increasing considerably in China, it has contributed to the fast-paced growth of China’s economy. On the other side, FDI exerted a crowd-out effect to the domestic investment in China, which affected China’s economy adversely. With an econometrics model, this paper tried to disclose the relations among FDI, domestic investment and capital formation. This paper also explained the cause and the procedure of the crowd-out effect.In the paper a general investment model was established, though which the crowd-out effect in both regional sense and national sense was examined statistically. Based on the statistical results, the mechanism and the cause of crowd-out effect was analyzed in multiple aspects. The practical impacts on the state-owned enterprises, national industries and national brands were also presented in this paper. To eliminate the crowd-out effect, advices to enterprises, industries and local governments were given in the last part.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 武汉大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2006年 06期
  • 【分类号】F224
  • 【被引频次】7
  • 【下载频次】405
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