【作者】 贾双苗；

【导师】 朱远程；

【作者基本信息】 北京工业大学 ， 国际贸易学， 2005， 硕士

【摘要】 全球化已成为当今世界经济社会科技等各个领域的发展趋势世界各国和地区从没有像今天这样紧密地联系在一起全球化是一个多维度全方位的通过国际合作和相互依存增加共同性的过程从量化的角度讲全球化包括经济全球化技术全球化和社会全球化等方面其中经济全球化是全球化的主要方面当今世界的经济全球化以信息技术为动力以跨国公司为主要载体全球贸易和投资迅速增长使得各个国家或地区之间的联系日趋紧密那么一国或地区与世界其他国家或地区的这种经济联系程度到底怎样这就需要建立一套综合指标来反映和测度这种联系这正是本论文研究的主要内容本论文的选题来自李会明老师的北京市教委项目全球化指标体系研究本文主要研究其中经济维度的指标首先对国内外有关全球化和经济全球化的指标指标体系的研究成果进行综述借鉴其中的优点并指出其中的不足其次对经济全球化的基本涵义进行梳理统一概念为建立指标体系做理论准备然后采用定量和定性相结合选取指标的方法分别从国际贸易生产要素流动国际生产以及国际金融等四个方面选取了十三项指标建立了经济全球化指标体系最后运用多元统计方法中的因子分析法确定指标权数构造综合评价函数对62 个国家或地区2002 年参与经济全球化的程度进行了实证研究并且运用Spearman 等级相关系数进行相关分析得出本文实证研究的排序结果与科尔尼/外交政策杂志全球化指数中关于经济融合的排序具有显著的相关性这也就说明排序结果受评价方法的影响不大可靠性较高本论文有如下创新之处第一明确了全球化和经济全球化的基本含义以建立规范的指标体系第二选取服务贸易比重和跨国并购比重两项指标突出体现了当今经济全球化发展的主要特点第三引入联合国贸发会议利用外资潜力指数中的汽车和电子产品零部件进口在世界市场中的份额指标作为本文经济全球化指标体系中国际生产领域的一项指标第四与国外同类研究科尔尼/外交政策杂志全球化指数进行了比较经济全球化指标体系研究属于基础研究该研究本身将丰富国际贸易理论在全球化问题研究上定量研究的成果该指标体系的建立为评价和比较各国或地区参与经济全球化的程度提供了工具为我国参与经济全球化提供了坐标研究指标体系的内涵和外延将对我国的社会主义经济建设具有指导和借鉴作用更多还原

【Abstract】 Globalization has become a trend of the world in many aspects such as economy, science & technology, and society. As a result, all the economies in the world are integrated together more than before. Based on the measurable point of the author, globalization is composed of economic globalization, science & technology globalization and social globalization. Economic globalization nowadays is driven by information technology. Not only the governments of all the economies but also TNCs (transnational corporations) are pushing the process. So that international trade and investment got a rapid increase. But how tight is the economic integration? Therefore, an index to measure it is needed. This issue will be discussed in this dissertation. This subject stems from Mr. Li Huiming’s project On The Indicators System of Globalization. In this paper, the indicators system of economic globalization is focused on. After a brief introduction, it firstly makes a review on the research of the globalization or economic globalization indicators of both at home and abroad. Then, based on clarifying what is globalization and what is economic globalization, it constructs the indicators system of economic globalization that includes 13 variables from the aspects of international trade, international factor movement, international production and international finance by using quantitative and qualitative methods. Finally, it makes a positive analysis of the indicators system by using factor analysis to measure and rank the economic globalization of 62 economies. It also makes a correlation analysis to make sure if the author’s ranking has significant correlation with the ranking of A.T. Kearney /Foreign Policy Globalization Index. There are some innovations in this paper. First, in order to construct a normative indicators system, the meaning of globalization and economic globalization is discussed. Second, cross-border M&A and Service Trade were selected as two individual indicators which embodies the characteristics of nowadays economic globalization. Third, the world market share of imports of parts and components for automobiles and electronic products which is one of the indicator in Inward FDI Potential Index of UNCTAD is used as an indicator of international production in this paper. The fourth one, in this paper, a correlation analysis is made between the author’s ranking and the ranking of economic integration of A.T. Kearney /Foreign Policy Globalization Index. This research is a fundamental one, which will enrich the fruit of the theory of international trade in quantitative study. To my opinion, the indicators system of economic globalization will be instructive for the construction of the socialist market economy in China.更多还原