人民币实际有效汇率变动与我国对外贸易研究

【作者】 余林；

【导师】 梁志坚；

【作者基本信息】 南京理工大学 ， 国际贸易学， 2005， 硕士

【摘要】 实际有效汇率作为衡量一国贸易商品的国际竞争力,它的变动会直接改变了一国金融资产的相对价格并引导着国际资本的流动,进而影响到该国贸易的可持续发展。本文利用计量经济的方法及相关的汇率变动的贸易发展效应理论,着重分析了汇率变动对贸易流量影响,明确得出:实际有效汇率与贸易流量的发展并不存在长期稳定的关系,并对该结论作了相关的解释,认为这是由于我国特有的经济结构决定的。然后,对汇率变动对我国贸易结构的影响也作了相关的详细阐述,指出汇率变动对我国贸易结构的调整与优化在特有的时期起到了应有的作用。最后,得出结论并提出相关对策与建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Reel efficient exchange rate is regarded as a measurement of trade goods competence in international market. Its fluctuation can lead to a country’ s financial assets price change directly and guide the international capital flows, thereby influences a country’ s sustainable development of trade. This paper confines itself to studying the impact of exchange rate volatility on trade flow with econometric models and related trade theories, and draws a conclusion that there is no long-term steady relationship between Reel efficient exchange rate and trade flow because of our country’ s distinct economic structure. Then the paper also makes an elaboration on trade structure effects of exchange rate volatility, and points out that exchange rate volatility has exerted some effects on the adjustment and optimization of trade structure. Finally, conclusions have been made, and advisements and suggestions have also been raised.更多还原