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工程总承包风险控制研究

Study on Risks Controlling Toward the Lump-sum Contracting

【作者】 廖林

【导师】 章恒全;

【作者基本信息】 河海大学 , 管理科学与工程, 2005, 硕士

【摘要】 针对我国工程总承包市场经过了二十多年的发展,市场份额仍难以打开的局面,文章指出工程总承包各阶段的风险优势控制主体不明确、风险承担者的激励不到位、风险责任不清晰等因素是阻碍我国工程总承包市场发展主要因素。 首先本文在风险有效分摊原则的基础上,运用经济人假设等理论,提出了风险优势承担者必须具备的条件,风险承担者必须具有比较优势的风险信息和控制能力,风险的发生不能给风险承担者造成毁灭性损失。风险优势承担者可以通过管理能力、技术能力、财物能力等综合因素确定。 其次,本文运用委托—代理理论、激励理论,结合风险承担者的风险态度,针对风险发生与否有无可观测量,提出了采取基于结论的委托代理激励和产权激励等不同激励方法;对于一些不适宜采项目内主体分配和激励而适宜采取工程保险的风险,本文剖析了可实施保险风险的条件。 最后,本文分析了工程总承包实施过程中特有的风险,并运用本文的风险控制方法,寻找风险的最佳控制措施,特别改进总承包模式以适应风险控制的需要,并对几种不同内部结合关系下的总承包商风险控制能力进行了分析,为职能单一的工程参与方开展总承包工作提供了一种参考途径。

【Abstract】 According to the deadlock that the market share of lump-sum contracting can’ t be enlarged steadily in the past 20 years, this article point out that the factors such as the ambiguity of the party best able to manage and control the risk in each phrase of lump-sum contracting, the insufficiency of incentive towards risk’ s undertakers, the ambiguity of risks responsibility and etc, was the main factor that baffle the development of lump-sum contracting market in our country.First, this paper base on the theories such as the economic person assumption 、rules of risk effective allocation , puts forward the qualifications the risks best undertaker must have. The risks undertaker should have comparison Advantage on risks information and ability to control risks, the lost the risks lead can’ t lead disaster to the risks undertaker. the risks best undertaker could be acknowledged through the ability of managemengt、 techonology、 finiance.Second , this paper use entrust - represent theory and incentive theory, considering the attitude of risks undertaker , this paper puts forward the incentive to the risk’ s undertaker and the measure with responsibility distributed under different kinds of risk. For some risk which isn’ t suitable to be distributed or encouraged among the project’ s parties but suitable to project insurance, this paper analyses the characteristics the risk must have which suitable to project insurance. At last, this paper analyse the risks exist in the process of the lump-sum contracting enforcement. And uses the method to control risk in this paper to seek the best measure to control the risk, especially , this paper aimed to improve the model of lump-sum contracting to accommodate the need of risk controlling. in addition, this paper analyse the ablility to control risks in different relation between the contactor, this could give some advice for those who want to start the business of lump-sum contracting.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 河海大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2005年 04期
  • 【分类号】F284
  • 【被引频次】8
  • 【下载频次】934
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