【作者】 孙宁；

【导师】 鲁子爱；

【作者基本信息】 河海大学 ， 交通运输规划与管理， 2005， 硕士

【摘要】 随着我国国民经济的发展，进一步改革开放，特别是我国加入WTO以后，港口作为一个与外界紧密相通的开放系统，面临日益激烈的市场竞争，用战略的眼光来规划港口的发展越来越引起人们的重视。泰州港作为国家一类开放港口处于长江下游，具有海、江、河换装功能，它的发展不仅能带动泰州及苏中地区口岸环境的进一步好转，而且对促进泰州经济发展以及对外开放中起着积极的作用。为此，如何适应外部环境的发展，更好为区域经济服务是泰州港值得研究的问题。鉴此，本文拟对泰州港口的未来发展规划作一研究。 本文通过对泰州港腹地经济运量的调查，在全面了解港口现状和自然条件的基础上，对泰州港未来货物吞吐量水平及船型的发展进行了预测。根据泰州港的性质和地位及其所处的江苏沿江大开发战略的环境，提出了泰州港口发展战略目标。围绕这一目标对泰州港的港口发展规模、与周边港口的竞争以及港口的投融资进行分析。从泰州港发展的战略目标和战略重点的角度提出了泰州港发展的对策及措施，并在此基础上提出了保障职能战略。 在整个论文中主要体现两条主线：一条是对泰州港未来货物吞吐量的预测，通过组合预测技术的方法来对港口进行货物的吞吐量预测。第二条主线是在对泰州港未来发展前景分析研究和系统预测的基础上，提出泰州港发展的战略目标，并围绕这一目标展开论述。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the development of economy of our country and further reform and opening, especially after the entry of China to WTO, as an open system which is close to the external environment, the port faces more intensive competition in the market. Taizhou port is one of the most important port of the gold waterway, yangzi river. Its development not only can drive Taizhou and Suzhong regional port environment more better but also plays a positive role which advances the development economy of Taizhou and its opening. The problems of how to adapt to the development of external environment and serve for regional economy are worth researching. Therefore this thesis will research on the future development planning of Taizhou port.Through the investigation on economical transporting quantity of hinterland in Taizhou port and on the basis of understanding current situation and natural conditions of the port, this thesis predicted the future cargo capacity and ship types of Taizhou port. According to the character and position of Taizhou port and the environment of great development strategy of yangzi river in Jiangsu, the thesis put forward the strategic objective of the development of Taizhou port. Then it analyzed development scale, the competition with peripheral ports and investment and financing of the port. From the angel of strategic objective and emphases, the thesis put forward the advice and measurement on the development of Taizhou port and proposed ensuring functional strategy on this basis.There are two main threads in the whole thesis. One is to make use of the make-up method to predict the future cargo capacity, the other is to put forward the strategic objective of the development of Taizhou port on the basis of analyses of future development prospect and systematic prediction, then launch the research around this objective.更多还原