【作者】 何剑华；

【导师】 刘洪玉；

【作者基本信息】 清华大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 在国际上，城市轨道交通项目对周边房地产价格的效应涉及多个相关领域，是一个热门的基础性研究课题。近年来，国内随着城市轨道交通建设的铺开，对这个课题的关注程度也日益增加。本文即尝试以北京地铁 13 号线为例，探讨城市轨道交通项目对周边房地产价格的效应。 在研究方法上，本文将城市轨道交通对住宅价格的效应分解为“空间效应”和“时间效应”两方面进行探讨。通过文献综述归纳已有的研究方法，确定了以建立 hedonic 模型为主、以均价比较研究为辅的研究方法。 对空间效应的研究结果表明，地铁 13 号线的站点对周边住宅价格的影响半径约为 1 千米。处于地铁站周边 0.5 千米范围内和 0.5~1 千米范围内的住宅单价比处于距离地铁站 1~2 千米范围内的住宅单价分别约高出 700 元/平方米和 400元/平方米；按比例计算分别是 9%和 1%。住宅总价也有类似的规律。这一价格差主要是由 13 号线建设带来的。在时间效应方面，从 1999 年到 2004 年，随着13 号线的施工和运营，在站点周边 1 千米半径范围内，住宅总价和单价分别上升了约 78000 元和 780 元/平方米，如果以比例关系来度量，分别提升了 16 %和18%。这一增幅是由 13 号线的建设以及与之同步的 13 号线交通走廊的区域环境和居住条件的整体改善共同带来的。综合空间和时间效应，截止至 2004 年初，13 号线为周边商品住宅带来增值效益的下限约为 46 亿元，上限约为 110 亿元。 对 13 号线不同站点的效应的差异进行了研究。结果表明城市轨道交通站点的效应大小取决于轨道交通线是否成为周边区域的重要通勤途径、站点对周边地区在整个城市交通网络内的可通达性的改善程度如何。此外，13 号线周边房地产市场对 13 号线的“动工”和“通车”两个标志性的事件存在良好的反应，平均来说，住宅价格在动工和通车后一年内上涨速度最快。在可通达性改善较大的站点（上地和西二旗站），这一过程略有提前；在可通达性改善较小的站点（五道口和知春路站），这一过程略有滞后。 最后，论文根据研究结果，提出了要改善城市轨道交通特许经营者的现金流，应侧重于实行与房地产的联合开发，而非建立增值效益返还策略等建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The effects of urban rapid rail transit on surrounding house prices, relating tomany research fields, is a heated basic research subject all around the world. In recentyears, increasing concerns have been given to this subject with the widespreadconstruction of urban rapid rail transit in China. This thesis discusses the effects ofurban rail transportation projects on surrounding house prices with the case of BeijingMetro Line 13. On research approach, the thesis divides the effects of urban rapid rail transit onhouse prices into two aspects: Time Effect and Space Effect. By summarizing theexisting research approaches stated in listed materials, the thesis adopts an approachbased on Hedonic Model and supplemented by average price comparison. The results of research on Space Effect indicate that Metro Line 13 stations havean effect on areas within a radius of 1km of the stations. Unit prices of houses withinthe radius of 0.5km and within the radius between 0.5-1km of a metro station are700yuan/m2 and 400yuan/m2, or 9% and 1%, higher than those houses within theradius between 1-2km respectively. House total prices have similar features. Thesedifferences in prices are mainly brought about by Metro Line 13. The results ofresearch on Time Effect indicate that house prices in effected areas have undergonean appreciation corresponding to the construction of Metro Line 13. Within a radiusof 1km of a station, unit prices of houses have increased approximately 780yuan/m2,or by 18% in 2004, compared unit prices in 1999. The house total prices have similarfeatures. Except for the accessibility brought about by Metro Line 13, the increasemay be effected by many other factors, including corresponding development ofcommerce in the whole traffic corridor. The degree of the effect of each station depends on whether the Metro line willbe an important transportation assess in the surrounding areas and to which extend theMetro will improve the accessibility of the surrounding areas to the whole urbantransportation network. Prices of houses around Metro Line 13 have recorded - II -<WP=5>favorable responds to two landmark occasions: its start of construction and its open totraffic. Finally, by using the results from the previous studies, the strategy for integrateddevelopment of urban rapit rail transit with land use is preferd to the strategy ofmaking use of the benefits of increase of property.更多还原