【作者】 安志强；

【导师】 任福田； 陈艳艳；

【作者基本信息】 北京工业大学 ， 交通运输规划与管理， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 北京作为 2008 年奥运会的举办城市，其针对奥运的各项规划及建设已经在紧锣密鼓的进行，其中奥运交通的合理规划和顺利实施是奥运期间保障交通顺畅运行的基本前提。而参与奥运的各类群体中数量最多、随意性最强、对交通系统造成压力最大的就是观看奥运比赛的观众群体。本文首先根据往届奥运经验及北京奥运的实际情况，对奥运观众的规划目标、出行特点、交通预测及交通组织特点进行了分析和概述，然后应用传统的四阶段法（包括交通产生、交通分布、交通方式划分、交通分配）对奥运观众进行了完整的交通需求预测，并根据预测所得出的结果以及国外奥运公共交通组织规划的经验对 08 年奥运公共交通系统进行了一体化规划，用以满足并提高奥运观众的主要交通需求——可达性需求，最后针对奥运赛事比较集中的奥运公园进行了较为详尽的交通组织方案规划，其中对奥运公园区域内部的观众步行交通和运行于场馆周边的穿梭巴士进行了重点规划研究。本文通过对奥运观众交通出行全过程的分析，根据奥运观众的交通出行特点，提出相应的交通组织和交通预测的特点，并给出针对性的分析方法和思路，从而在此基础上建立起一套完整的奥运观众及其他大型活动观众的交通预测和交通分析方法。更多还原

【Abstract】 As the holding city of 2008 Olympic Games, Beijing is buss planningand constructing anything about the Olympics, in which the planning andimplementing of Olympic traffic is the basic of ensuring the traffic movingsmoothly during the Olympic Games. Among all the people who will attendthe Olympic Games, the spectators have an enormous pressure to the trafficsystem, who own the most number and are the most randomly. Firstly,according to previous Olympics’ experience and the real conditions of BeijingOlympics, this paper analyzes the planning aim, travel trait, traffic forecastingand the trait of traffic organizing, and gives a summary. Secondly, this paperapplies traditional four-step method (including trip generation, trip distributiontrip mode sorting and trip assignment) to give an intact traffic demandforecasting of Olympic spectators, and according to the forecasting result andother country’s experience of public traffic organizing plan, puts up anintegrative planning to the 2008 Olympic public traffic, which satisfies theOlympic spectators’ traffic demand――accessibility demand. At last, aimingat Olympic park which have a lot of games, this paper gives an elaborateproject planning to traffic organizing, in which a main study to the spectators’walking traffic of Olympic park and shuttle-buses running around the venue. Through the analysis to the whole process of Olympic spectators traveland according to the trait of Olympic spectators’ travel, this paper points outthe relevant trait of traffic organizing and traffic forecasting, and puts forwardrelevant analysis method and plan. Accordingly, an integrated trafficforecasting and analyzing method of Olympic spectators and other large-scale II<WP=6>abstractactivities is set up on the basic of this paper.更多还原