江苏省出口产品结构优化研究

【作者】 顾杰；

【导师】 曹锟生；

【作者基本信息】 南京航空航天大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 江苏的出口在全国名列前茅，如何使其保持稳健发展，长盛不衰?本文以为动态比较利益理论和竞争优势理论可作为研究江苏省出口商品结构的调整和优化提供理论依据。文章根据当前的国内外贸易环境的变化，运用贸易竞争指数和出口优势变差指数分析法对江苏省出口的比较优势进行了实证研究，发现劳动密集型产品强势依存，资本和技术密集型产品出口正逐步树立比较优势，资源密集型产品出口已处于比较劣势。并在出口产品结构现状分析及各类产品对出口贡献率分析中得出结论：纺织品服装等劳动密集型产品比重仍然较大，这些产品缺乏竞争优势，其出口波动较大，是出口总额增长不稳定的主要因素；虽然机电产品、高新技术产品等具有竞争优势的产品出口发展迅速，已占据出口的主导地位，但是其比重仍然偏小，不足以维持出口总额的持续稳定增长，其产品内部结构存在单一化等缺陷。文章首次制定了江苏省出口结构调整和优化的目标值，并对当前值和目标值的差距进行了有序度分析，这也是本文的一个重点和创新点。文章总结出当今世界贸易发展不同阶段的各个国家和地区的出口结构，将之作为参照标准。并对江苏出口产品结构优化、如何达到目标结构值进行了对策研究。更多还原

【Abstract】 The main content of this thesis is export adjustment and optimization of Jiangsu province. There are many international trade theories, the writer considers the Theory of Dynamic Comparative Benefit as the theory foundation of export adjustment and optimization of Jiangsu province. As export adjustment and optimization is one kind of strategic act, this thesis make a research on present international environment and domestic environment. Comparative superiority is the basis of export. This thesis uses trade competition index and index of export superiority changing in demonstration analysis on comparative superiority of Jiangsu’s export. And get a conclusion that labor-compressed products also have large comparative superiority, capital-compressed and technology-compressed products’ comparative superiority is rising, and resource-compressed products belong to comparative inferior position. We also find that fluctuate in export amount mainly comes from fluctuate in labor-compressed products such as clothing and textile. So enhancing the proportion of high-attached-value product is a main task. Constituting the target value of export product is one of the stresses of this thesis. There are three steps in doing this. Firstly, make a standard export structure according to the circumstances various different developing countries. Secondly, work out Jiangsu’s export structure. Thirdly work out sequence degree by using model of sequence degree. To get to the target value, this thesis put forward some political measures, during which appraise actual effect of trade policies being executed. Following also put some other measures.更多还原