【作者】 金晖；

【导师】 阮连法；

【作者基本信息】 浙江大学 ， 结构工程， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 城市化是一个国家和地区由传统走向现代，由落后走向文明的必由之路。加快城市化进程的根本目的，是推动经济和社会的发展，提高人民生活水平和质量。从世界经济发展的历程来看，城市化是加快经济发展的一条重要经验。 在城市化进程加速发展的过程中，迫切需要发展房地产业。同时，城市化的发展也势必促进房地产的欣欣向荣。世界各个国家和地区的经验表明，一个国家或城市在进入城市化加速发展阶段后，在人均住房建筑面积达到30—35平方米前，该国或该城市将保持较为旺盛的住房需求。浙江正处于城市化发展的加速阶段，它地处长江三角洲区域，作为我国城市化发展的领头羊，其发展特征具有很强的代表意义。浙江又是以中等城市为主的省份，我国现代化发展的实践表明，城市化的快速发展主要得益于中型城市的快速发展。 本文在前人理论研究的基础上，通过定性、定量的方法论证城市化和房地产发展之间的正相关关系，其中定量分析是建立在统计分析的基础上。运用层次分析法，把城市化水平分解为国内生产总值、人均国内生产总值、第三产业占GDP比重，城乡居民储蓄额、居民可支配收入、城镇人口比重、人均住房面积、电话普及率、万人拥有公路长度和高等教育普及率10个三级指标，通过专家打分法，赋予各个指标不同的权重，构建了城市化水平综合测评指标体系。 然后，有针对性地选取浙江省中型城市作为研究对象，运用城市化水平综合测评指标体系对浙江省的11个地区进行计算分析。根据计算结果，选取城市化水平较高的地区进行房地产发展潜力研究。更多还原

【Abstract】 Urbanization is the only way for a certain country or an area to turns from tradition to modern, from backward to civilization. The ultimate object of accelerating urbanization is to push forward the economic and social development and improve people’s living standard and quality. From the aspect of the development of world economy, urbanization is a piece of important experience to accelerate economic progress.In the accelerated development of urbanization, it is demand for real estate, and vice versa. The experience from all of the world shows that the needs of a country or a city keep high level when it reach the phrase of accelerated development of urbanization, and its per residence area is below 30-35 square meters. Now Zhejiang Province is in this phrase. Located in Yangtze river delta region, Zhejiang Province is the leader in urbanization development in China. As the experience of modernization development in China shows medium-sized city is the main way for the accelerated development of urbanization, and Zhejiang Province is a region that is mainly composed of medium-sized city.On the base of research of many other scholars, using quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, this thesis demonstrate the plus correlativity between urbanization and real estate. By the means of Analytic Hierarchy Process, this thesis establishes urbanization development level assessment index system, including ten indices, such as GDP and per GDP.Afterwards, this thesis specially selects medium-sized city in Zhejiang province as the researching object, and grades 11 regions by urbanization development assessment index system. On the basis of the result, it selects some regions whose urbanization level are relatively higher for real estate research.更多还原