【作者】 崔祎满；

【导师】 李仁安；

【作者基本信息】 武汉理工大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 目前，国内外对水资源和水污染，特别是江汉平原的水资源和水污染分析方面都有过零星的研究。但是从江汉平原水资源的完全分布情况，对江汉平原水污染进行全面的分析和研究，并从经济学角度加以阐述，给予战略性的指导和建议尚未见到相关研究。本文综合利用博弈论、模糊决策理论、微观经济学的理论与方法，对江汉平原水污染的治理进行了尝试性的理论研究和实证分析。研究工作主要从三方面展开：水资源治理的基本理论研究、水资源治理的微观机理分析、江汉平原水资源发展的战略对策。通过这些研究，本文试图从微观的、定量的角度来探讨江汉平原水资源治理的动作机理，提炼规律，以期为完善江汉平原水污染治理体系提供参考。全文总体上分为四个部分： 第一部分，导言。首先讨论了研究的背景、目的及其意义，让读者对整个江汉平原水资源分布情况和水污染的严重现状有比较全面而清晰的了解，认识到对江汉平原水资源整体规划的紧迫性；其次，对研究的目的及其意义进行详尽的阐述，阐明了本文的出发点及研究的现实意义。 第二部分，水资源治理的基本理论研究。首先讨论了经济博弈论在水资源保护中的应用，通过博弈的均衡解对水资源市场的现状进行了探讨；其次从环境经济学、系统观与可持续发展的角度对水资源保护进行了探讨和建议。 第三部分，水资源治理的微观机理分析。建立了水资源治理的斯塔克伯格模型，提出了企业的最优策略及对我国环境污染治理的建议，并进行了严格的数学推导证明；运用博弈论的基本原理，探讨了在同时决策和先后决策两种情况下污染费如何定价和企业应如何选择排污量的问题，并对所得解进行了讨论；从博弈论的角度探讨了排污权交易中排污指标的定价策略，并比较了排污权交易下与传统的通过征收环境税收条件下排放的污染物总量，并提出了初始排污权的分配方法。 第四部分，江汉平原水资源发展的战略对策。以江汉平原为例，分析和提出了江汉平原工业污染和农业污染治理的战略对策，并用多因素模糊评价法对防治方案进行选择，这一部分的研究试图体现理论与实践的结合。更多还原

【Abstract】 At present, there are a few researches on water resource and water pollution, especially JiangHan Plain. However, these aren’t papers that wholly analyze water pollution in JiangHan Plain and provide strategic instruction, from entire situation of water pollution in JiangHan Plain and microeconomics. By employing game theory, fuzzy decision theory, microeconomics theory, this paper tentatively studies the theory and the empiric example of regulation on water pollution in JiangHan Plain. With these researches, this paper tries to discuss the operation mechanism of regulation on water resource in JiangHan Plain from the perspective of microscopic and quantitative angle, and summarize the regularity in order to provide some reference for the complement of regulating system of water pollution in JiangHan Plain. On the whole, this paper includes 4 parts.The first part is an introduction. First of all, this part discusses background, purpose and significance. It makes readers completely and distinctly realize the distributing and serious present situation of water resource in JiangHan Plain, and recognize pressure on the whole plan of water resource in JiangHan Plain. Secondly, this paper expresses the object and meaning of this research.The second part is an analysis of basic theory on water resource regulation. Firstly, this part discusses application of game theory on protection of water resource, and the status quo of water resource with the equilibrium solution of game. Secondly, this part analyzes the protection of water resource from the point of environmental economics, system theory and sustainable development.The third part analyzes the micro-mechanism about regulation of water resource. Firstly, this part sets up Stackelberg Model, and provides enterprises’ optimum countermeasures. Secondly, from the point of game theory, this part discusses how to decide pollution charge and how should enterprise choose pollution quantity under simultaneous decision-making and successive decision making, respectively. At last, the price fixing strategy of discharge from the point of game theory is discussed, the total pollutant between the trading of discharge and environment taxation are compared, and the distributing method of initial discharge is presented.The fourth is the strategic countermeasures on water resource development of JiangHan Plain. This part takes JiangHan Plain as an example. The strategic countermeasures of industrial and agricultural pollution are embodied in the analysis of this example. This part tried to combine the theory with the practice.更多还原