【作者】 侯强；

【导师】 仲维清；

【作者基本信息】 辽宁工程技术大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2003， 硕士

【摘要】 从项目中止决策内涵入手，结合国内外研究现状，以直观经济分析和投资可靠性分析为切入点，分析了项目中止决策的必要性，从价值评估理论角度分析了项目中止决策的价值基础，从自主开发和委托代理角度分析了项目中止决策的运行机制。依据研究与开发项目的分阶段特性和风险特点、风险来源、风险分布规律，结合国内外研究的指标因素集，提出了建立指标体系的原则和架构并建立了分阶段较为系统的指标体系，在分析了国内外中止决策判别方法的优缺点和适用范围的基础上，将可拓理论和组合评价方法用于项目中止决策判别，通过实例分析证明了所建模型的有效性。更多还原

【Abstract】 The paper starts with connotation of project termination,combining the study document of internal and international,analyses the important of project termination decision and the value foundation of termination decision. According to independence and principal-agent development,the paper analyses the function mechanism.Then the paper not only puts forward the principal,also develops dynamic index system according to the character of project phases and the risk traits,risk source,risk distributing in every phases .The index system also is based on the set of risk factors including the factors that study by others. After this,the paper analyses the advantages and application confine of every the discrimination method,then make good use of matter element analysis and assembled appraisal method in project termination decision. Real application shows that the model is very useful and effective.更多还原