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广东产业群投入产出研究
An Input-output Analysis of Industrial Groups in Guangdong
【作者】 成达建;
【导师】 胡军;
【作者基本信息】 暨南大学 , 产业经济学, 2002, 硕士
【摘要】 本文运用投入产出分析方法,对广东省产业部门的发展状况及相互之间的依存关系进行分析。研究结果主要有三点。第一,广东经济由农产品群、能源群、化学群、非金属群、金属群和信息服务群等六个产业群构成;每个产业群具有较强的独立性,内部形成合理的部门分工。第二,通过分析确定广东产业发展次序。第三,中间投入率大幅度提高,导致广东经济效益下降,因而降低中间投入率,可以在一定程度上改善经济效益。除上述结论外,本研究进一步得出两点较重要的发现。一是广东产业群依存关系的变化呈现出产业群的独立性强弱程度与其他产业群对其的依存度同方向变化的特点。另一点就是,广东经济呈现出进出口量大、出口大大超过调出、其中出口以加工贸易为主等三个特点。在研究结果的基础上,本文提出几点建议。此外,本文还对使用分配系数、中间流量系数、中间需求率、输入率、输出率及成本产出分析各项指标等作出界定。
【Abstract】 Applying input-output analysis method, this thesis studies development of industries and their interdependence in Guangdong province and thereby reaches three conclusions. Firstly, the economy of Guangdong is composed of such six industrial groups as agriculture product group, energy resources group, chemistry group, nonmetal group, metal group and information and service group. Each group is of outstanding independence and develops rational cooperation of industries inside. Secondly, this study makes clear sequence of industrial development in Guangdong. Thirdly, decrease of intermediate input rate (IIR) can improve economic effects to a certain extent since rapid increase of IIR results in deterioration of economic effects in Guangdong. Besides above conclusions, this study furtherly makes two other important contributions. One is that interdependence of industrial groups in Guangdong finds its own change character in the fact that independence degree of each industrial group varies in a same direction with how much the others depend on the former. The other is that Guangdong economy typically manifests itself in three aspects: import and export in large volumes, foreign trade export (FTE) completely outnumbering domestic trade export and processing trade leading FTE. Based on those research results, this thesis puts forward some proposals. Besides, this thesis defines such analysis indices as consuming-distributing coefficient, intermediate flow coefficient, intermediate demand rate, import rate, export rate and those in cost-output analysis.
【Key words】 industrial group; input-output analysis; industrial structure; Guangdong;
- 【网络出版投稿人】 暨南大学 【网络出版年期】2002年 02期
- 【分类号】F062.9
- 【被引频次】1
- 【下载频次】438