加入WTO对我国纺织品服装贸易的影响和对策

【作者】 梁朝晖；

【导师】 陈人豪； 李济群；

【作者基本信息】 天津工业大学 ， 纺织工程， 2002， 硕士

【摘要】 中国是世界上最大的纺织品服装生产国与出口国，也是世界上最大的纺织原料进口国。纺织品服装的生产和出口对于本国的经济发展和外汇平衡来说至关重要，同时对世界纺织品服装的供求平衡和贸易格局亦是举足轻重。在“多种纤维协定”的框架下，我国纺织品服装出口一直受到歧视性待遇，处于不利的贸易环境。中国加入世贸组织以后，纺织品服装贸易将获得相对公平的竞争环境，同时纺织业也面临着挑战。 本文从国际国内宏观经济背景出发，回顾国际纺织品服装贸易发展及其贸易体制的演变过程：运用计量经济学的方法及统计分析软件，对加入世贸组织后，关税降低对我国纺织业的冲击作了定量测算和定性分析；运用灰色系统理论及开发相关软件分析了我国纺织品服装生产和贸易的影响因素；并根据以上研究结果及国际国内新的发展动向提出了政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 China is the world’s largest textiles producer and exporter, while it is also the largest importer of textile materials. The production and exportation of textiles are of vital importance both to its economic development and foreign exchange balance, as well as to the balanced supply and demand of textiles and trade pattern in the world market. Under the framework of the "Multi-fiber Arrangement (MFA)", the textiles export of China has been always imposed discriminative quantity restriction and disadvantage trade environment. After WTO accession, Chinese textiles industry will face relative fair trade environment as well as challenges.This article, which is based on international and domestic macroeconomic background, reviews the development process of international textiles trade and its trade system; Predicts the impact on Chinese market under traffic cut system after WTO entry by means of Econometrics and SAS(Statistical Analysis System);Analyzes impact facts of China’s textiles production and exportation by using Grey System theory and developing its software ;And puts forward countermeasures according to the results of the above research and to the latest development in both international and domestic markets.更多还原