【摘要】 针对连退炉内带钢跑偏问题，本研究旨在通过酸轧板形的二次拟合分析，建立非对称浪形与连退跑偏的量化关联模型，提出一种基于板形特征参数的跑偏预测与评价方法。本文从数据驱动的角度，对酸轧板形与连退跑偏的关系进行相关性研究，揭示了非对称浪形的一次项积分特性对连退跑偏的主导作用，为连退炉区稳定生产提供理论依据。通过本研究对酸轧带钢板形进行评价，可降低连退炉区带钢跑偏事故发生率，提升产线稳定性。更多还原

【Abstract】 To address the issue of strip deviation in continuous annealing furnaces, this study aims to establish a quantitative correlation model between asymmetric wave shapes and strip deviation through quadratic fitting analysis of pickling-rolling strip shapes, and proposes a deviation prediction and evaluation method based on strip shape characteristic parameters. From a data-driven perspective, this paper investigates the correlation between pickling-rolling strip shapes and strip deviation in continuous annealing, revealing the dominant role of the first-order integral characteristics of asymmetric wave shapes in causing deviation. The findings provide a theoretical foundation for stabilizing production in continuous annealing furnace sections. By evaluating the strip shape characteristics of acid-rolled strips through this research, the accident rate of strip deviation in continuous annealing furnaces can be reduced, thereby enhancing the stability of the production line.更多还原