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野生动物肇事对农户种植结构调整的影响及其政策启示

The impact of wildlife-induced damage on farmers’ cropping structure adjustment and its policy implications

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【作者】 王馨睿梁贤艾信男谢屹

【Author】 WANG Xin-rui;LIANG Xian;AI Xin-nan;XIE Yi;School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University;

【通讯作者】 谢屹;

【机构】 北京林业大学经济管理学院

【摘要】 在建设人与自然和谐共生的中国式现代化进程中,野生动物肇事已成为亟待破解的现实难题。基于云南省2023—2024年1666份农户调研数据,采用倾向得分匹配法,系统分析了野生动物肇事对农户适应性行为选择及其生产要素再配置机制的影响。结果表明:(1)野生动物肇事促进农户适应性行为选择,使其对种植结构进行边际调整;(2)野生动物肇事通过改变农户的生产要素配置,间接抑制了种植结构的优化;(3)小规模经营、低防护投入以及损失程度较低的农户更倾向于通过调整种植结构应对野生动物肇事风险。研究揭示了在野生动物肇事风险下农户缩减生产规模而非改造农业生产系统的有限适应性响应决策逻辑,为实现生态保护与乡村可持续发展提供微观依据。

【Abstract】 In the process of building a Chinese path to modernization that emphasizes harmony between humans and nature, wildlife-induced damage has emerged as a pressing challenge. Based on 1666 household survey samples collected in Yunnan province during 2023-2024, this study employs the Propensity Score Matching(PSM) method to systematically analyze the impacts of wildlife damage on farmers’ adaptive behavioral choices and the mechanisms of production factor reallocation. The results show that:(1) wildlife damage promotes farmers’ adaptive behavioral responses, leading to marginal adjustments in cropping structure;(2) by altering the allocation of production factors, wildlife damage indirectly inhibits the optimization of cropping structure; and(3) small-scale farmers, those with low investment in protective measures, and those experiencing lower loss levels, are more likely to adjust their cropping structure to cope with wildlife risks. This study reveals the decision-making logic of limited adaptive responses, in which farmers tend to downscale production rather than transform agricultural systems under wildlife-induced risk. The findings provide micro-level evidence for achieving both ecological conservation and sustainable rural development.

【基金】 国家社会科学基金项目(23BGL177);青海省重点研发与转化计划项目(2023-SF-148S)
  • 【文献出处】 自然资源学报 ,Journal of Natural Resources , 编辑部邮箱 ,2026年06期
  • 【分类号】F326.1
  • 【下载频次】62
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