【摘要】 基于2007—2022年中国20个省份的面板数据，得到计量模型参数，并将此参数作为指标权重来构造新旧动能转换评价指数，进而分析新旧动能转换评价指数的变化趋势，探讨新旧动能转换的动力机制与绩效水平。研究发现：中国新旧动能的转换效果十分明显，从全国范围、东部、中部和西部地区来看，评价指数都呈快速上升的趋势；技术创新是新旧动能转换的核心动力；政府调控对新旧动能转换发挥着主导作用，间接影响着其它因素发挥作用的大小；以节能减排为标志的绿色低碳发展模式是新旧动能转换的关键领域；对外开放对经济发展具有显著的促进作用；协调共享是新旧动能转换的重要保障；受去工业化实践的影响，以第三产业占比提升为典型特征的产业结构优化未对经济增长产生促进作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on panel data from 20 provinces in China from 2007 to 2022,the parameters of the econometric model were obtained and used as indicator weights to construct the evaluation index of the transformation from old growth drivers into new ones.It then analyzes the changing trends of the evaluation index and explores the driving mechanisms and performance levels of the transformation.The results are as follows.The transformation from old growth drivers into new ones in China is highly significant, from a national perspective, as well as in the eastern, central, and western regions, the evaluation index shows a rapid upward trend.Technological innovation is the core driving force behind the transformation from old growth drivers into new ones.Government regulation plays a leading role in this transformation, indirectly influencing the effectiveness of other factors.The green and low-carbon development model, marked by energy conservation and emission reduction, is a key area in the transformation.Opening up to the outside world has a significant promoting effect on economic development.Coordination and sharing are important guarantees for the transformation.Influenced by deindustrialization practices, industrial structure optimization, characterized by the increase in the proportion of the tertiary industry, has not promoted economic growth.更多还原