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成年早期肥胖与全因及特定原因死亡的关系:一项50万中国成年人的前瞻性研究(英文)

Young adulthood adiposity in relation to all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective study of 0.5 million Chinese adults

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【作者】 范雷Andri Iona冯石献周刚孙花荣姚庞余灿清陈怡平孙点剑一裴培杨凌严鸣署杨晓明吕筠陈君石李立明陈铮鸣杜怀东代表中国慢性病前瞻性研究项目协作组

【Author】 Lei Fan;Andri Iona;Shixian Feng;Gang Zhou;Huarong Sun;Pang Yao;Canqing Yu;Yiping Chen;Dianjianyi Sun;Pei Pei;Ling Yang;Mingshu Yan;Xiaoming Yang;Jun Lv;Junshi Cheng;Liming Li;Zhengming Chen;Huaidong Du;on behalf of the China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group;NCDs Prevention and Control Department, Henan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC);Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford;NCDs Prevention and Control Department,Huixian CDC;Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University;Peking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness & Response;Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases (Peking University), Ministry of Education;China National Center For Food Safety Risk Assessment;

【通讯作者】 杜怀东;

【机构】 NCDs Prevention and Control Department, Henan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of OxfordNCDs Prevention and Control Department,Huixian CDCDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness & ResponseKey Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases (Peking University), Ministry of EducationChina National Center For Food Safety Risk Assessment

【摘要】 Obesity is a well-established risk factor for early death, but the exact shapes of associations between young adulthood body mass index(BMI) and mortality in later life were not well characterised. Using data from the prospective China Kadoorie Biobank study of 430,373 participants(~57% being women,with a median follow-up duration of 12 years), Cox regression analysis was performed to yield adjusted hazard ratios(HRs) relating BMI at ~25 years old(BMI25) with different mortality outcomes including total mortality(n = 36,814), cardiovascular mortality(n = 13,620), cancer mortality(n = 13,394) and respiratory mortality(n = 2929). Mean BMI25of participants was 21.9(SD = 2.5) kg/m2, and 1.9% participants were obese at young adulthood(i.e., BMI25≥28.0 kg/m2). Independent of baseline BMI, higher BMI25was associated with much higher levels of blood glucose and diabetes prevalence at baseline. After adjusting for potential confounders e.g., age, smoking, and baseline measured BMI, BMI25had a strong positive loglinear association with all above-mentioned mortality outcomes, those being obese at young adulthood had a HR of 1.85(95% CI: 1.75–1.95), 1.85(1.71–2.00), 1.40(1.26–1.56) and 2.34(1.96–2.81), respectively, compared with participants having BMI25of 18.5–20.0 kg/m2. The association with cancer mortality was more pronounced in men than in women, but no such heterogeneity was observed for total,cardiovascular diseases(CVD), and respiratory mortality. To conclude, the observed strong monotonically positive associations between young adulthood BMI and various mortality outcomes, independent of BMI in later life, support the need for early and stringent body weight control to prevent early death.

【Abstract】 Obesity is a well-established risk factor for early death, but the exact shapes of associations between young adulthood body mass index(BMI) and mortality in later life were not well characterised. Using data from the prospective China Kadoorie Biobank study of 430,373 participants(~57% being women,with a median follow-up duration of 12 years), Cox regression analysis was performed to yield adjusted hazard ratios(HRs) relating BMI at ~25 years old(BMI25) with different mortality outcomes including total mortality(n = 36,814), cardiovascular mortality(n = 13,620), cancer mortality(n = 13,394) and respiratory mortality(n = 2929). Mean BMI25of participants was 21.9(SD = 2.5) kg/m2, and 1.9% participants were obese at young adulthood(i.e., BMI25≥28.0 kg/m2). Independent of baseline BMI, higher BMI25was associated with much higher levels of blood glucose and diabetes prevalence at baseline. After adjusting for potential confounders e.g., age, smoking, and baseline measured BMI, BMI25had a strong positive loglinear association with all above-mentioned mortality outcomes, those being obese at young adulthood had a HR of 1.85(95% CI: 1.75–1.95), 1.85(1.71–2.00), 1.40(1.26–1.56) and 2.34(1.96–2.81), respectively, compared with participants having BMI25of 18.5–20.0 kg/m2. The association with cancer mortality was more pronounced in men than in women, but no such heterogeneity was observed for total,cardiovascular diseases(CVD), and respiratory mortality. To conclude, the observed strong monotonically positive associations between young adulthood BMI and various mortality outcomes, independent of BMI in later life, support the need for early and stringent body weight control to prevent early death.

【基金】 supported by the Kadoorie Charitable Foundation in Hong Kong;supported by Wellcome grants to Oxford University (212946/Z/18/Z, 202922/Z/16/Z, 104085/Z/14/Z, and 088158/ Z/09/Z);grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82192900, 82192901, 82192904, and 82388102);the Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project (2023ZD0510100 and 2023ZD0510100);The UK Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00017/1, MC_UU_12026/2, and MC_U137686851);Cancer Research UK (C16077/A29186 and C500/ A16896);the British Heart Foundation (CH/1996001/9454),provide core funding to the Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit at Oxford University for the project;supported by the Major Science and Technology Research Program of Henan CDC (HNCDCZD20250102)
  • 【文献出处】 Science Bulletin ,科学通报(英文版) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2026年07期
  • 【分类号】R589.2
  • 【下载频次】7
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