【摘要】 推动中国式现代化与产业链韧性提升的协调发展，是实现中国高质量发展的重要举措。本文基于2013—2023年中国30个省(区、市)的面板数据，运用修正耦合协调相对发展度模型、障碍度模型、Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计及空间自相关模型等方法，研究中国式现代化与产业链韧性的时空耦合、障碍因素、区域差异及空间特征，研究发现：(1)2013—2023年中国式现代化与产业链韧性的耦合协调度持续提高，呈“东高西低”的空间格局，中国式现代化水平整体高于产业链韧性，但后者提升速度更快；(2)吸引外资、外企规模、创新产出和领军企业为主要障碍因子；(3)耦合协调度的总体基尼系数略微增大，区域间差异是其空间分布不平衡的主要来源，区域内差异从高到低排序为东部、西部、东北、中部；(4)耦合协调度持续显现较强的空间负向自相关，在空间分布上表现出“低-高”和“高-低”的集聚特征。研究为助力中国式现代化与产业链韧性提升的协同发展提供了经验证据。更多还原

【Abstract】 Promoting the coordinated development of Chinese path to modernization and industrial chain resilience is critical for achieving high-quality development.Drawing on panel data for 30 Chinese provinces from 2013 to 2023,this study employs a refined coupling-coordination relative development degree model, obstacle-degree model, Dagum Gini coefficient, kernel-density estimation, and spatial-autocorrelation models to examine the distributional characteristics, key obstacles, inter-regional disparities, and spatio-temporal evolution of the coupling coordination between Chinese path to modernization and industrial chain resilience.The results reveal that:(1)The coupling coordination degree increased continuously over the sample period and displayed an“east-high, west-low”spatial pattern.While the overall level of Chinese path to modernization exceeded that of industrial-chain resilience, the latter improved more rapidly.(2)Foreign-capital attraction, the scale of foreign-invested enterprises, innovation output, and leading firms were the principal obstacles, with foreign-capital attraction being the most significant.(3)Total inequality remained relatively stable, with the overall Gini coefficient rising only slightly.Inter-regional disparity was the dominant source of spatial imbalance, accounting for 67.36%-71.79% of total inequality; intra-regional inequality followed the descending order of eastern, western, northeastern, and central regions.(4)The coupling coordination exhibited a persistent and strong negative spatial autocorrelation, forming“low-high”and“high-low”clusters across space.Policy implications include region-specific development strategies, further advancement of high-level opening-up, and strengthened inter-regional economic and industrial collaboration to foster the synergistic development of Chinese path to modernization and industrial chain resilience.更多还原