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具有饱和发生率的确定性和随机SIS-SIRS传染病模型

Analysis of a deterministic and stochastic SIS-SIRS epidemic model with saturated incidence rates

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【作者】 王展新韦煜明

【Author】 Wang Zhanxin;Wei Yuming;School of Mathematics and Statistics, Guangxi Normal University;

【通讯作者】 韦煜明;

【机构】 广西师范大学数学与统计学院

【摘要】 本文研究一类同时具有SIS和SIRS传播机制的双疾病传染病模型。首先证明确定性模型4个平衡点的局部渐近稳定性,并讨论当R1<1且R2 <1时无病平衡点的全局稳定性;其次建立相应随机模型,证明随机模型全局正解的存在唯一性,给出疾病灭绝与平均持续性的充分条件,即当Rsi<1时疾病灭绝,当Rsi>1时疾病持久;最后通过数值模拟验证理论结果的正确性。

【Abstract】 This paper studies a class of two-disease epidemic models that incorporate both SIS and SIRS transmission mechanisms. First, the local asymptotic stability of the four local equilibrium points in the deterministic model is rigorously established, and the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium is proved under the condition that the basic reproduction numbers satisfy R1<1 and R2<1. Subsequently, the corresponding stochastic model is formulated, for which the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution are proved. Furthermore, sufficient conditions for disease extinction and persistence in the mean are derived. Specifically, when the stochastic reproduction number, the disease is shown to become extinct, whereas if, the disease is persistent in the mean. Finally, theoretical results are validated through numerical simulations.

【基金】 广西自然科学基金(2023GXNSFAA026246)
  • 【文献出处】 广西师范大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2026年04期
  • 【分类号】O211.6;R181
  • 【下载频次】32
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