【摘要】 采用基于主体的建模（agent-based modeling,ABM）方法从微观主体的创新行为角度出发，探讨江苏省新兴产业新质生产力的涌现过程。研究表明，新兴产业新质生产力的涌现遵循“科技创新-结构变迁-产能跃升”的框架。同时，研究新质生产力涌现过程研究显示，长期的同群效应（企业互鉴行为）会引导其从模仿创新转向独立创新，但政府扶持政策的激励作用存在着边际效应递减，需辅以合适的补贴力度以促进新兴产业新质生产力的涌现。更多还原

【Abstract】 Taking the agent-based modeling(ABM)method from the perspective of the innovative behavior of micro-entities,the process of the emergence of new productive forces in emerging industries in Jiangsu Province was explored.The research shows that the emergence of new productive forces in emerging industries follows the framework of “technological innovation--structural change--productivity leap”.Also,the result on the process of the emergence of new productive forces shows that the long-term peer effect(mutual learning behavior of enterprises)will guide it from imitative innovation to independent innovation,but the incentive effect of government support policies has a diminishing marginal effect,and appropriate subsidies need to be provided to promote the emergence of new productive forces in emerging industries.更多还原