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论后“土地金融”时代的空间运作与规划创新——基于从“抵押品”到“调节器”的范式嬗变探讨
ON SPATIAL OPERATION AND PLANNING INNOVATION IN THE POST-LAND FINANCE ERA:A DISCUSSION BASED ON THE PARADIGM SHIFT FROM “COLLATERAL” TO “REGULATOR”
【摘要】 随着我国宏观杠杆率突破经验临界阈值,叠加人口与资源硬约束,传统的土地信用扩张动能衰减,城市建设迈入以债务约束和存量优化为特征的后“土地金融”时代。与此相对应,空间作为“抵押品”范式日渐式微。有鉴于此,本文引入后凯恩斯主义的内生货币理论与“相位转换”视角,构建“空间—债务”相位转换模型,论证空间运作逻辑亟须从被动“抵押品”向主动平抑周期的“调节器”范式转变;提出应摒弃“土地金融决定论”,确立空间作为要素配置载体与政策传导通道的定位,构建“产业—金融—空间”协同治理框架。在应用层面,则初步探讨了“总规—详规—实施”的分层规划创新思路。
【Abstract】 As China’s macro leverage ratio surpasses empirical critical thresholds,compounded by rigid constraints on population and resources,the traditional momentum of landbased credit expansion is declining.Urban development has thus entered a post-land finance era characterized by debt constraints and the optimization of existing stock.Correspondingly,in this context,the previous paradigm of space as a “collateral” is gradually losing efficacy.In view of this,this paper draws on the endogenous money theory of postKeynesianism and a phase transition perspective to construct a space–debt phase transition model,demonstrating the urgent need to shift the logic of space operation from a passive “collateral” to an active “regulator” that mitigates economic cycles.The paper argues for moving beyond the determinism of land finance and repositioning space as both a carrier for factor allocation and a channel for policy transmission,thereby establishing a coordinated governance framework of industry,finance,and space.At the practical level,it preliminarily explores hierarchical planning innovations spanning master planning,detailed planning,and implementation.
【Key words】 post-land finance era; endogenous money theory; phase transition model; collaborative governance; planning renovation;
- 【文献出处】 城市规划 ,City Planning Review , 编辑部邮箱 ,2026年05期
- 【分类号】TU984;F832;F301.2
- 【下载频次】66