【摘要】 跑道容量是影响机场飞行区正常运行的关键要素之一，外部扰动事件会造成机场动态容量下降。本文根据机场航空器滑行规则，基于元胞传输模型（CTM,cell transmission model）提出一种适用于扰动事件发生后评估机场飞行区运行网络韧性的模型。首先，基于CTM获得网络性能参数；其次，以网络等待飞机数量与网络运行效率为基础性能指标，建立受干扰网络韧性动态变化的韧性指标；最后，搭建了基于CTM的机场跑滑系统网络韧性评估框架，并收集、处理和分析了2019年天津滨海国际机场运行数据。研究结果表明，仿真的机场离场运行数据与实际离场运行数据的趋势具有较高一致性，仿真准确率在90%以上，能够准确描述机场跑滑系统网络交通流量分布。本文提出的两项机场韧性评估指标可以全面反映扰动事件发生前后系统网络性能从退化到恢复的完整动态变化过程，为机场跑滑系统网络管理提供新支持。更多还原

【Abstract】 Runway capacity is one of the key elements that affect the normal operation of airport flight areas, and external disturbance events can cause a decrease in the dynamic capacity of the airport. According to airport aircraft taxiing rules, this article proposes a model to evaluate the resilience of airport flight area operation network after disturbance events, based on cell transmission model(CTM). Firstly, network performance parameters are obtained based on the CTM. Then, taking the number of aircraft waiting in the network and the efficiency of network operation as basic performance indicators, a resilience index for the dynamic changes of the resilience of the disturbed network is established. Finally, the CTM based network resilience assessment framework for airport running and sliding system is established, and operational data from Tianjin Binhai International Airport in 2019 are collected,processed, and analyzed. The research results indicate that the trend of simulated airport departure operation data is highly consistent with the actual departure operation data, with a simulation accuracy of over 90%, and can accurately describe the network traffic flow distribution of the airport running and sliding system. The two proposed resilience assessment indicators for airports can comprehensively reflect the complete dynamic change process of system network performance from degradation to recovery before and after disturbance events occur, providing new support for network management of airport running and sliding system.更多还原