【摘要】 将耦合理论用于研究铁路与旅游融合发展问题，建立铁路与旅游系统的耦合指标体系对两系统的发展情况进行量化分析，利用PVAR模型和耦合协调度模型对铁路与旅游的互动关系和整体的协调发展程度进行量化，以四川省铁路与旅游系统为例进行实证研究。结果表明：四川省铁路系统与旅游系统之间存在双向的促进作用，铁路系统对旅游系统的推动作用更为显著，但具有一定的滞后性。四川省内的铁路系统与旅游系统总体上正由低水平耦合阶段逐渐过渡到拮抗耦合阶段，部分州市甚至发展到了磨合耦合及以上阶段，各州市存在明显的空间差异。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper, coupling theory is used to study the integration and development of railway and tourism. First, coupling index system of railway and tourism system is established to conduct quantitative analysis of the development of the two systems. Secondly, PVAR model and coupling coordination degree model are used to quantify the interactive relationship between railway and tourism and the overall coordination and development degree. Finally, an empirical study is made on the railway and tourism system of Sichuan Province. Case analysis shows that there is a two-way promotion effect between the railway system and the tourism system in Sichuan Province, and the promotion effect of the railway system on the tourism system is more significant, but it has a certain lag. The railway system and the tourism system in Sichuan Province are gradually transitioning from the low-level coupling stage to the antagonistic coupling stage,and some cities have even developed to the running-in coupling and above stage. There are obvious spatial differences between the cities and cities.更多还原