【摘要】 在系统阐述高铁开通与旅游业发展内在关联的基础之上，基于2010-2019年长三角地区41个城市的面板数据，运用倾向得分匹配法与多期渐进倍差法评估高铁开通对长三角地区城市旅游业发展数量和质量的影响。研究结果表明：(1)基于整体视角，高铁开通促进了长三角地区城市旅游业发展数量与质量的双提升，对发展质量的影响程度大于对发展数量的影响程度，同时高铁开通对该地区城市旅游业存在既“旺财”又“旺丁”的效果；(2)基于异质性视角，高铁开通对新一线及以上城市旅游业发展质量有微弱正向作用，但无法助推其发展数量的提升，对二线城市旅游业发展数量影响强而对发展质量影响较弱，对三线、四线及以下城市旅游业发展质量的提升影响较大而对发展数量影响微弱，这类城市沦为高铁旅游的“过道”;(3)基于驱动力视角，技术进步成为该地区旅游业全要素生产率提升的核心动力，同时高铁开通对除四线及以下城市的发展层次城市技术进步的驱动作用强于对技术效率的驱动作用。据此，在加快旅游强国建设背景下，应将高铁建设纳入推进区域旅游业高质量发展的有效手段和政策工具，通过高铁网络完善产生的杠杆效应进一步促进区域旅游一体化建设、旅游技术创新与扩散、技术效率改进与提升。更多还原

【Abstract】 On the basis of systematically describing the internal correlation logic between the opening of high-speed rail(HSR) and the development of tourism industry, the panel data of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region, the paper uses the propensity matching score method and the multi-period DID method to evaluate the impact of the HSR opening on the quantity and quality of urban tourism development in the Yangtze River Delta region. The results showed that:(1) Based on the overall perspective, the HSR opening promoted the double improvement of the quantity and quality of urban tourism development in the Yangtze River Delta region, and the impact on the quality of development was greater than the quantity of development. Meanwhile, the HSR opening had both a “wealth” and “prosperity” effect on urban tourism in the region.(2) From the perspective of heterogeneity, the HSR opening had a weak positive effect on the quality of tourism development in new first-tier and above cities, but had no effect on the quantity of tourism development. The HSR opening had a strong effect on the quantity of tourism development in second-tier cities, but a weak effect on the quality of tourism development in third-tier, fourth-tier and below cities and a weak effect on the quantity of tourism development. Such cities could become “corridors” for the HSR tourism.(3) From the perspective of driving force, technological progress has become the core driving force for the improvement of total factor productivity of tourism in this region. Meanwhile, the HSR opening had a stronger driving effect on technological progress than technical efficiency in all levels of cities, and only the fourth-tier and above cities had a small difference. In the context of accelerating the construction of a powerful tourism country, HSR construction should be included into an effective means and policy tool to promote the high-quality development of regional tourism, and the leverage effect generated by the improvement of HSR network will further promote the construction of regional tourism integration, tourism technology innovation and diffusion, and the improvement and enhancement of technical efficiency.更多还原