【摘要】 基于2010～2022年中国省级面板数据，运用固定效应模型、中介效应模型和面板门槛模型实证检验农业现代化发展对城乡收入差距的影响，研究发现：农业现代化发展可以显著缩小城乡收入差距，这一结论经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。异质性分析表明，农业现代化发展对城乡收入差距的影响在农业现代化各子维度及不同的粮食功能区都存在差异性。中介效应检验表明，农业现代化发展通过扩大农村市场规模、提升农业全要素生产率和促进农村劳动力非农就业来缩小城乡收入差距。门槛效应检验表明，农业现代化发展对城乡收入差距的抑制作用存在基于城镇化水平的双重门槛效应，当城镇化水平位于第一门槛值与第二门槛值区间时，其抑制作用最为明显。应加强现代农业三大体系建设、制定差异化农业现代化发展战略，促进城镇化与农业现代化协同发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on provincial panel data from China spanning 2010 to 2022,this study employs fixed effects models,mediation effect models,and panel threshold models to empirically examine the impact of agricultural modernization on the urban-rural income gap. The findings reveal that agricultural modernization significantly reduces the urban-rural income gap. The conclusion remains robust under a series of validation methods. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the impact of agricultural modernization on the urban-rural income gap varies across sub-dimensions of agricultural modernization and grain functional zones. Mediation effect tests show that agricultural modernization narrows the urban-rural income gap by expanding rural market size,improving total factor productivity in agriculture,and promoting non-agricultural employment among rural laborers. Threshold effect analysis further reveals a dual-threshold effect based on urbanization levels,where the suppressive effect of agricultural modernization on the urban-rural income gap is most pronounced when urbanization levels fall between the first and second threshold values. These findings provide theoretical support and policy insights for advancing agricultural modernization and narrowing the urban-rural income gap.更多还原