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农业数字化对农业绿色发展的影响研究
Research on the Impact of Agricultural Digitization on the Green Development of China’s Agriculture
【摘要】 绿色发展是农业高质量发展在当今时代背景下的普遍形态和核心要求,数字时代的到来为加快落实农业绿色发展带来了新的机遇。基于上述背景,论文首先从直接影响、间接影响和门槛效应三方面对农业数字化对农业绿色发展的影响进行了理论分析,在此基础上选择中国30个省份为研究对象,运用固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛模型对农业数字化对农业绿色发展的影响进行实证分析。研究结果表明:(1)农业数字化对农业绿色发展的提升具有显著的正向影响,且农业数字化对农业绿色发展的影响具有区域异质性,东部地区促进作用最强,中西部地区次之,东北地区的效果最差;(2)农业数字化可以通过农业技术创新对农业绿色发展产生间接影响,农业技术创新效应为部分中介效应,占总体效应的比例为45.1%;(3)农业数字化对农业绿色发展的影响存在以农业人力资本水平为门槛变量的门槛效应,农业人力资本水平越高,越有助于农业数字化的促进作用。综合上述研究结果,研究从加强数字基础设施建设、加强区域间统筹协调发展、提升农民数字素养、加快农业技术创新发展等方面提出一系列对策建议。
【Abstract】 Green development is the universal form and core requirement of agricultural development in the context of the present era.The arrival of the digital era brings new opportunities to accelerate the implementation of green development in agriculture.Based on the above background,this study firstly conducts theoretical analysis on the impact of agricultural digitalization on agricultural green development from the aspects of direct impact,indirect impact and threshold effect.On this basis,the research selects 30 provinces in China as the research object,and empirically analyzes the impact of agricultural digitalization on agricultural green development by using the fixed effect model,the mediated effect model and the threshold model.The results of the study show that:(1) Agricultural digitalization has a significant positive impact on the improvement of agricultural green development level,and the impact of agricultural digitalization on agricultural green development has regional heterogeneity,with the strongest promotion effect in the eastern region,followed by the central and western regions,and the worst effect in the northeastern region.(2) Agricultural digitalization can indirectly affect agricultural green development through agricultural technological innovation,and the effect of agricultural technological innovation is partially mediated,accounting for 45.1% of the total effect.(3) The impact of agricultural digitalization on agricultural green development has a threshold effect with the level of agricultural human capital as the threshold variable,and the higher the level of agricultural human capital,the more it contributes to the promotion of agricultural digitalization.Synthesizing the above research results,this paper puts forward a series of countermeasure suggestions from strengthening digital infrastructure construction,strengthening inter-regional integrated and coordinated development,enhancing farmers’ digital literacy,and accelerating the development of agricultural technology innovation.
【Key words】 digitization of agriculture; greening of agriculture; fixed effects; mediating effects; threshold effects;
- 【文献出处】 生态经济 ,Ecological Economy , 编辑部邮箱 ,2025年07期
- 【分类号】X322;F323;F49
- 【下载频次】435