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中国公共政策的稳健性及其生成机制:基于“十一五”到“十四五”规划的分析

The Robustness of China’s Public Policies and Their Formation Mechanisms: An Analysis Based on the 11th to 14th Five-Year Plans

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【作者】 容志; 李怀宇;

【Author】 Rong Zhi;Li Huaiyu;

【机构】 武汉大学;

【摘要】 五年规划作为中国国家治理的重要制度安排和政策体系,既体现国家战略的长期稳定性,又彰显应对环境变化的灵活性,是透视中国政策稳健性及其生成机制的重要窗口。研究基于“十一五”到“十四五”规划的分析,揭示了产业政策在推进新型工业化和制造业高端化进程中的重要作用,辨析了中国公共政策的稳定性和调适性特征,概括了长期政策在运行中的“变与不变”的辩证统一。研究进一步分析了政策稳健性得以实现的深层机制,这些机制确保了政策在不确定环境中保持核心稳定和灵敏调适,为中国工业化发展提供了稳定的制度环境和政策保障。政策稳健性既是理解“中国之治”的一把密钥,也是中国国家治理和公共政策自主知识体系的重要内容。

【Abstract】 As a crucial institutional arrangement and policy framework in China’s national governance, the Five-Year Plan embodies both the long-term stability of national strategy and the flexibility to respond to environmental changes. It serves as a vital window for examining the robustness of China’s policies and their formation mechanisms. Based on an analysis of the 11th to 14th Five-Year Plans, this paper reveals the pivotal role of industrial policy in advancing new industrialization and the high-end transformation of manufacturing. It examines the stability and adaptability of these policies, summarizing the dialectical unity of “change and constancy” in the implementation of long-term policies. The study further examines four underlying mechanisms that collectively ensure policy robustness. Theoretically, policy robustness serves as both a key to understanding China’s governance and a vital component of its autonomous knowledge system in state governance and public policy.

【基金】 教育部哲学社会科学研究重大专项项目“中国公共政策自主知识体系构建研究”(2015JZDZ046)的阶段性成果
  • 【文献出处】 上海行政学院学报 ,The Journal of Shanghai Administration Institute , 编辑部邮箱 ,2025年06期
  • 【分类号】D63
  • 【下载频次】279
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