【摘要】 利用投入产出模型，分析了为实现“双碳”目标，使用清洁能源替代煤电所产生的综合影响，包括全社会产出、就业及碳排放等。设置了2种情景：①当煤电、风电和太阳能发电最终需求增加相同单位时，煤电对全社会产出、就业的拉动略高于风电、太阳能发电；②从满足社会用电需求出发，考虑不同发电类型的特点和投资成本，风电、太阳能发电对全社会产出、就业拉动作用均高于煤电。当发电量分别增加1 GWh，煤电、风电、太阳能发电分别创造就业岗位4.7个、10.2个和11.9个。该结论对加快清洁发展，实现碳达峰、碳中和目标提供了参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper uses an input-output model to analyze the comprehensive effects of replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy in order to achieve the goal of “dual carbon”,including total output,employment and carbon emissions.The paper sets up two scenarios:(1) When final demand of coal-fired power,wind power,and solar power increase by the same unit,coal-fired power’s contribution to social output and employment is slightly higher than that of wind power and solar power.(2) In order to meeting the electricity consumption demand of the whole society,taking into account the characteristics and investment costs of different power generation types,wind power and solar power have a higher role in stimulating social output and employment than coal-fired power.When power generation increased by 1 GWh,coal-fired power,wind power,and solar power generated 4.7,10.2,and 11.9 jobs,respectively.This conclusion is of significance to accelerate clean development and achieve the goal of carbon peak and carbon neutrality.更多还原