【摘要】 近年来，在大国竞争的新形势下，南海已成为中美两国战略博弈的重点地区。双方超越传统主权争端，演变为“规则主导权”与“海洋命运共同体”两种秩序逻辑的博弈。美国以“规则主导权”叙事，通过“航行自由行动”、联盟体系和灰色地带行动维护自身霸权；中国则倡导“海洋命运共同体”,推动互利共赢的多边架构，建设“和平、友谊与合作之海”的三重路径。两国博弈焦点在于主权认知、秩序逻辑与意识形态分歧、规则主导权争夺。东盟作为“中间地带”,坚持“不选边”立场，寻求战略自主。未来东亚安全将呈现中美在南海问题上“斗争性增加”的态势，双方需建立危机管控机制，构建南海新叙事。更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years, against the backdrop of major-power competition, the South China Sea has become a focal point of strategic rivalry between China and the United States. Moving beyond traditional sovereignty disputes, the contest has evolved into a clash between two distinct logics of order: “rules-based leadership” and a “maritime community with a shared future.” The United States, under the narrative of “rules based leadership”, seeks to maintain its hegemony through Freedom of Navigation Operations, alliance systems, and gray-zone operations. Meanwhile, China advocates for a “maritime community with a shared future, ” promoting mutually beneficial multilateral frameworks and a three-pronged approach centered on peace, friendship, and cooperation. The core of the rivalry lies in divergent perceptions of sovereignty, conflicting logics of order and ideology, and the struggle for dominance in rule-making. ASEAN, as an “intermediate zone”, adheres to a “non-alignment” stance and pursues strategic autonomy. Looking ahead, East Asian security will likely see heightened contention between China and the U.S. over the South China Sea issue, necessitating the establishment of crisis management mechanisms and the construction of a new narrative for the region.更多还原