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1980年以来全球土壤水分动态:数据集偏差、趋势及科学遴选(英文)

Global soil moisture dynamics since 1980: datasets biases, trends, and science-informed selection

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【作者】 朱子阳; 冯梅青; Wim Cornelis; Diego G.Miralles; 曾振中; 陈亚宁; 杨震雷; 邹珊; 刘永昌; Philippe De Maeyer; 段伟利;

【Author】 Ziyang Zhu;Meiqing Feng;Wim Cornelis;Diego G.Miralles;Zhenzhong Zeng;Yaning Chen;Zhenlei Yang;Shan Zou;Yongchang Liu;Philippe De Maeyer;Weili Duan;State Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;Soil Physics (SoPHy), Department of Environment, Ghent University;Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Utilization in Arid Zone, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences;Ili Station for Watershed Ecosystem Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences;Tianshan Snowcover and Avalanche Observation and Research Station of Xinjiang, Chinese Academy of Sciences;Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Tohoku University;Hydro-Climate Extremes Lab (H-CEL), Department of Environment, Ghent University;School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology;Aksu National Station of Observation and Research for Oasis Agro-ecosystem;Department of Geography, Ghent University;Sino-Belgian Joint Laboratory for Geo-Information;

【通讯作者】 段伟利;

【机构】 State Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences; Soil Physics (SoPHy), Department of Environment, Ghent University; Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Utilization in Arid Zone, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Ili Station for Watershed Ecosystem Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Tianshan Snowcover and Avalanche Observation and Research Station of Xinjiang, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Tohoku University; Hydro-Climate Extremes Lab (H-CEL), Department of Environment, Ghent University; School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology; Aksu National Station of Observation and Research for Oasis Agro-ecosystem; Department of Geography, Ghent University; Sino-Belgian Joint Laboratory for Geo-Information;

【摘要】 Soil moisture is critical for climate prediction,ecological management,and disaster warning.However,multi-source datasets show spatiotemporal inconsistencies and uncertain regional applicability due to algorithmic and observational limitations.We assess the statistical performance and spatiotemporal variations of 23 global surface soil moisture datasets(1980-2023) from reanalysis,land surface models,and microwave remote sensing across global and regional scales(classified by K?ppen climates and IPCC land uses).Results show a slight long-term(1980-2023) global surface soil moisture decline(-4.30 × 10-4 m3 m-3 a-1),with some datasets indicating short-term wetting(7.17 × 10-4 m3 m-3 a-1)post-2010(2010-2023).A dual-validation against 992 and a filtered subset of 483 highly representative in situ stations shows that most products perform moderately well(Pearson R ≈ 0.5-0.7).Microwave remote sensing products,especially those based on SMAP,consistently demonstrate superior performance in capturing temporal dynamics(R ≈ 0.7).Our analysis demonstrates that spatial representativeness error can mask true performance,with validation in the tropics improving dramatically after site filtering(mean R increase of 0.41).The findings highlight product-specific strengths and weaknesses,underscoring the necessity of a science-informed,application-specific approach to dataset selection for robust hydrological and climatic research.

【Abstract】 Soil moisture is critical for climate prediction,ecological management,and disaster warning.However,multi-source datasets show spatiotemporal inconsistencies and uncertain regional applicability due to algorithmic and observational limitations.We assess the statistical performance and spatiotemporal variations of 23 global surface soil moisture datasets(1980-2023) from reanalysis,land surface models,and microwave remote sensing across global and regional scales(classified by K?ppen climates and IPCC land uses).Results show a slight long-term(1980-2023) global surface soil moisture decline(-4.30 × 10-4 m3 m-3 a-1),with some datasets indicating short-term wetting(7.17 × 10-4 m3 m-3 a-1)post-2010(2010-2023).A dual-validation against 992 and a filtered subset of 483 highly representative in situ stations shows that most products perform moderately well(Pearson R ≈ 0.5-0.7).Microwave remote sensing products,especially those based on SMAP,consistently demonstrate superior performance in capturing temporal dynamics(R ≈ 0.7).Our analysis demonstrates that spatial representativeness error can mask true performance,with validation in the tropics improving dramatically after site filtering(mean R increase of 0.41).The findings highlight product-specific strengths and weaknesses,underscoring the necessity of a science-informed,application-specific approach to dataset selection for robust hydrological and climatic research.

【基金】 supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDB0720400);the Third Xinjiang Scientific Expedition Program (2022xjkk0107);the West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (xbzgzdsys-202208);the Program of China Scholarship Council (ICPIT–International Cooperative Program for Innovative Talents, 202410630006);support from the European Research Council (ERC) Consolidator grant HEAT (101088405)
  • 【文献出处】 Science Bulletin ,科学通报(英文版) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2025年24期
  • 【分类号】S152.7
  • 【下载频次】19
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