【摘要】 基于2012—2022年我国西部地区12个省级面板数据，实证检验农业新质生产力影响农民增收的作用机制和门槛效应。结果表明：西部地区省份的农业新质生产力显著促进了农民增收，在经过一系列稳健性检验和工具变量内生性检验之后，该结论依然成立。作用机制分析发现，土地流转在农业新质生产力影响农民增收的过程中发挥部分机制效应，较大的城乡收入差距和较高的农业保险水平显著抑制了农业新质生产力对农民增收的促进作用。门槛效应检验发现，西部地区农业新质生产力水平对农民增收存在倒“U”型的非线性门槛效应。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the panel data of 12 provinces in western China from 2012 to 2022,this study empirically examines the mechanism and threshold effects of new quality productive forces of agricultural on rural income enhancement. The findings indicate that new quality productive forces of agricultural in western provinces significantly promotes rural income enhancement,and this conclusion remains robust after a series of rigorous tests,including robustness checks and instrumental variable endogeneity tests. Mediation analysis reveals that land circulation plays a partial mediating role,accounting for the effect of new quality productive forces of agricultural on rural income enhancement.Meanwhile,wider urban-rural income gaps and higher agricultural insurance coverage significantly inhibit this positive effect. Further threshold regression analysis identifies an inverted U-shaped nonlinear threshold effect of new quality productive forces of agricultural on rural income enhancement in western regions.更多还原