【摘要】 基于2009—2022年全国31个省域的文旅产业数据，构建文旅产业发展水平评价指标体系，综合运用熵值法和耦合协调度模型测度文旅融合水平，运用探索性空间数据分析（ESDA）与空间杜宾模型（SDM）探讨文旅产业融合的时空演化格局及影响因素。研究发现：2009—2022年我国文旅产业融合发展水平呈现波动上升趋势，部分省域处于中度失调和严重失调状态，地区差异显著，基本形成“东强西弱”的空间格局，且在空间分布上呈现出由沿海向内陆递减的特征；各地区空间上展现显著的正向关联性，H-H主要集中在东部地区，L-L则多分布在西部地区，整体呈现出“东高西低”的空间格局，存在明显的空间邻近性与依赖性；空间上区域一体化趋势偏弱，“马太效应”突出，高水平区域对周边的正向辐射带动作用不足；消费水平、科技创新、政府调控和劳动供给对文旅产业融合有正向影响。最后，提出加大政府扶持力度、充分发挥核心增长极的正向辐射作用、充分挖掘本地独特的文化与旅游资源等融合发展的建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on data spanning from 2009 to 2022 pertaining to the cultural and tourism industries across 31 provinces in China,this study establishes an assessment framework to evaluate the development status of these industries. It integrates the entropy method and the coupling coordination degree model to quantify the level of cultural and tourism integration. Furthermore,Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) and the Spatial Durbin Model(SDM) are utilized to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and the underlying factors influencing the integration of culture and tourism. The key findings are summarized as follows:Between 2009 and 2022,China’s cultural and tourism industries demonstrated a fluctuating yet upward trend in their integrated development,albeit at a generally low level. Notably,several provinces exhibited moderate to severe imbalances. Significant regional disparities were observed,with eastern regions outperforming central and western regions in terms of cultural and tourism integration,essentially reflecting a “strong east,weak west” spatial pattern. Additionally,a declining gradient in integration levels was evident from coastal to inland areas. Regions exhibited significant positive spatial correlation,with high-high(H-H) clusters mainly concentrated in eastern regions and low-low(L-L) clusters predominantly distributed in western regions,presenting an overall spatial pattern of "high in the east and low in the west," which indicates clear spatial proximity and dependence. The trend of regional integration showed weak spatial spillover,with a prominent "Matthew Effect," and high-level regions lacked sufficient positive radiation and driving effects on their surroundings. Consumption levels,scientific and technological innovation,government regulation,and labor supply had positive impacts on the integration of the cultural and tourism industries. Based on these findings,suggestions for promoting the integrated development of the cultural and tourism industries are proposed.更多还原