【摘要】 黄河流域作为国家生态屏障与高质量发展战略核心区，全流域单元覆盖九省区，是研究跨尺度人地系统协同演化的典型样本。本研究聚焦新型城镇化与旅游经济两大驱动引擎，着力破解“双系统如何实现协同互促”这一核心命题，对推动流域人地关系优化具有重要实践价值。基于2011–2022年面板数据，采用耦合协调模型与空间收敛计量方法，揭示沿黄九省区两系统耦合协调的时空规律。研究发现：（1）新型城镇化呈持续缓升态势，旅游经济则呈现“增长-衰退”波动特征，二者发展时序错位显著；（2）两系统耦合协调度虽向有序结构演进，但整体水平较低，且新型城镇化系统是制约整体耦合协调的主要因素，经济、空间、社会和生态城镇化阻滞作用较明显；（3）全流域及上游两系统耦合协调度存在显著收敛，但收敛影响因素存在差异；而中下游未现收敛趋势，反映出流域梯度发展格局的路径依赖特征。研究通过识别两系统耦合协调关系，为黄河流域高质量发展提供科学依据。更多还原

【Abstract】 The Yellow River Basin acts as both a national ecological barrier and a core area for high-quality development strategies. It encompasses nine provincial-level administrative regions and serves as an exemplary case for studying the cross-scale co-evolution of human-land systems. This study centers on the dual driving forces of new urbanization and tourism economy, aiming to address the critical question of “how can these two systems achieve mutual promotion and coordination?”, which has significant practical implications for optimizing the human-land relationship in the basin. Drawing on panel data from 2011 to 2022, this study applied a coupling coordination model and spatial convergence econometric methods to uncover the spatio-temporal patterns of coupling coordination between the two systems across the nine provinces and autonomous regions along the Yellow River.The key findings are threefold.(1) New urbanization demonstrated a steady yet gradual upward trend, whereas the tourism economy exhibited a “growth-decline” fluctuation pattern, revealing a notable temporal mismatch between the two systems.(2) Although the coupling coordination degree of the two systems is progressing toward an orderly structure, the overall level remains relatively low, with the new urbanization system being the primary constraint on overall coupling coordination due to significant impediments in the economic, spatial, social, and ecological dimensions of urbanization.(3) Significant convergence in the coupling coordination degree of the two systems was observed at the basin-wide level and in the upper reaches, although the influencing factors differ. In contrast, no convergence trend was evident in the middle and lower reaches, reflecting the path-dependent characteristics of the basin’s gradient development pattern. This study elucidates the coupling and coordination relationship between the two systems, thereby providing a robust scientific foundation for the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.更多还原